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Good Morning!

There can be some confusion in the minds of the average consumer about interest rates, especially as it relates to the Federal Open Market Committee, or FOMC, meetings. About every six weeks, the FOMC meets to discuss the current state of the economy with an eye toward the future. One important task is to monitor and adjust the cost of funds. In general, the “Fed” tries to keep inflation in check and in theory raise or lower the cost of funds. They do so by adjusting the Federal Funds rate and this is the rate that gets so much press each time the FOMC meets.

The Federal Funds rate is the rate banks can charge one another for short term lending. Short term as in overnight. Why does a bank need to borrow money on such a short notice? Banks are required to keep a certain amount of liquid capital, in other words “cash,” at the end of each business day. These funds are essentially demand funds. When a consumer wants to withdraw some cash either at the bank or at any automated teller, there needs to be cash available to meet those withdrawal requests. If the bank sees their reserves to meet these requests do not meet the reserve requirements, banks seek out a short term loan from another depository institution to meet the reserve requirements. This is what the Fed adjusts, the overnight lending rate. But the Fed doesn’t directly impact the everyday 30 year conforming fixed rate mortgage.

When lenders set their rates each day, they refer to a specific mortgage bond. For example, with a 30 year fixed conforming loan underwritten to Fannie Mae standards, the lender will review the current yield on the FNMA 30-yr 3.0 mortgage bond. Just like any bond, with the price of the bond goes up, the yield will fall. And when the price goes down, the yield will rise. Investors buy bonds, all types of bonds, as a safe place to park cash. When the economy appears to falter, investors can get a little skittish and pull some funds from the stock market and transfer those funds into bonds, including mortgage bonds. If on the other hand the economy is healthy and improving, the opposite will occur.

When the Fed makes an announcement at the end of their two-day meetings, investors are anxious to hear if the Fed raised, lowered or kept rates the same. If the Fed announces they decided to raise the cost of funds by 0.25%, it can tell investors the FOMC decided the economy is doing rather well but to hold of any potential inflation, it will raise the cost of funds that banks will pay for short term lending. It’s not a direct affect on mortgage rates, but definitely an indirect one.

Have an awesome week!

THIS WEEK'S HOT HOME LISTING!

825 SAND AVE

Price: $550,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 2    Sq Ft: 2344

Grand very well-maintained home! Light filled vaulted open layout w/ large windows & skylights. Living rm w/ gas fireplace opens to dining area. Office/bonus rm w/ exterior entrance & Shoji sliding dr/rm divider. Massive kitchen w/ cook island, pant...View this property >>

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Mortgage Interest Rates Holding Steady and May Even Decline

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

Finally, some bright news for would-be homebuyers. Mortgage interest rates are holding steady and may even see a decline. This trend may help take heat off of a housing market that continues to be over priced for many buyers.

Borrowers saw a slight cool down in mortgage rates this week following last week’s seven-year high. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dipped for the first time after five consecutive weeks of increases, averaging 4.71 percent.

But the higher rates may be deterring some would-be home buyers. “The strength in the economy has failed to translate to gains in the housing market as higher mortgage rates have contributed to the decrease in home purchase applications, which are down from a year ago,” says Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. “With mortgage rates expected to track higher, it’s going to be a challenge for the housing market to regain momentum.”

Freddie Mac reports the following national averages with mortgage rates for the week ending Oct. 4:
(Scroll over interactive data chart)

30-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 4.71 percent, with an average 0.4 point, falling slightly from last week’s 4.72 percent average. Last year at this time, 30-year rates averaged 3.85 percent.

15-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 4.15 percent, with an average 0.4 point, decreasing from last week’s 4.16 percent average. A year ago, 15-year rates averaged 3.15 percent.

5-year hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages: averaged 4.01 percent, with an average 0.3 point, rising from last week’s 3.97 percent average. A year ago, 5-year ARMs averaged 3.18 percent.

Have an awesome week!

 

THIS WEEK'S HOT HOME LISTING!

6997 GLACIER DR

Price: $359,900    Beds: 4    Baths: 2 ½   Sq Ft: 2406

Completely remodeled! Fresh interior & exterior paint. All new carpet, vinyl wood floors, LED lights w/ Decora switches, heat pump, furnace, hot water heater. Large lower level bonus space (not included in SF) w/ lots of potential; could make a grea... View this property >>

 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

This Month In Real Estate September 2018

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

Nationally, both home sales numbers and average sales prices have dipped slightly.  This has not caught up to the Eugene and Springfield area just yet, but I believe that it is on the horizon.  I am noticing that many homes in our area are not selling quickly at this time and also I am starting to see a good number of price reductions.  This is a strong indication that change is on the horizon.  I would guess that we will most likley be seeing a much softer sellers market over the next quarter.  

 

If you have been looking for a home in the Eugene and Springfield area and became frustrated during the frenzied strong sellers market of the last year, this might be your opportunity to jump back in and potentially have a much easier time finding a home to purchase.

Trouble viewing video? View it here.

 

Have an awesome week!


THIS WEEK'S HOT HOME LISTING!

 

84305 Derbyshire Lane

 

Price: $414,900   Beds: 3   Baths: 1.5   Sq Ft: 2,019

 

Beautiful country property! Serene tree views surround 5.27 acre estate w/ gate entry. Engineered wood floors, 2 fireplaces, ductless heat pump, recessed lights & sliding door. Open galley kitchen w/ eating nook. Living & family rm, plus bonus rm w/... View this property >>  

 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!! 

Pending Home Sales Continue To Decline For Seventh Month In A Row

by Galand Haas

Good Morning!

Nationally, pending home sales continue to decline for the seventh month in a row. As the video explains, this is primarily due to home affordability, low inventory and also to a lesser degree, rising mortgage interest rates. This trend could begin the shift to softer home prices down the road. View video HERE.

Have an awesome week!

THIS WEEK'S HOT HOME LISTING!

6997 GLACIER DR

Price: $369,900     Beds: 4     Baths: 2.5    Sq Ft: 2406

Completely remodeled! Fresh interior & exterior paint. All new carpet, vinyl wood floors, LED lights w/ Decora switches, heat pump, furnace, hot water heater. Large lower level bonus space (not included in SF) w/ lots of potential; could make a grea... View this property >>

 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Here's Why Affordability In Housing Market Is At Record Lows

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

The housing market both locally, in the Eugene and Springfield area, and across the nation seems to be slowing down. There certainly are fewer buyers out there serious about a home purchase. Home affordability could be most of the reason for this recent slowdown. This video from CNBC gives details on why affordability could be having an impact on the housing market at this time.

View video HERE

Have an awesome week!

 

THIS WEEK'S HOT HOME LISTING!

84305 DERBYSHIRE LN

Price: $450,000   Beds: 3   Baths: 1.5   SqFt: 2,019

Beautiful country property! Serene tree views surround 5.27 acre estate w/ gate entry. Engineered wood floors, 2 fireplaces, ductless heat pump, recessed lights & sliding door. Open galley kitchen w/ eating nook. Living & family rm, plus bonus rm w/... View this property >>

 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

This Month In Real Estate August 2018

by Galand Haas

Good Morning!

Nationally, homes sales dipped slightly in July, but home prices continue their upward trend.  It is my guess that we may have reached the peak in home prices and home prices will either remain flat, or possibly even start a decline soon.  Both locally and nationally, homes are becoming less affordable with higher prices and higher mortgage interest rates.  There is a point where the market will flatten due to this and home prices will begin the decline.  We are either there or it is close.

View video here

Have an awesome week!

 

THIS WEEK'S HOME HOME LISTING!

 

253 WEDGEWOOD DR

Price: $320,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 2.5    Sq Ft: 1855

Fabulous one-level home in desirable Santa Clara neighborhood! Spacious 0.22 acre lot on lovely low-traffic street. Living room w/ fireplace. Large galley kitchen w/ pantry. Dining/Family room combination w/ fireplace. Large private master suite w/ ... View this property

 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!! 

Slow Rise In Home Inventory Still Not Meeting Demand

by Galand Haas

Good Morning!

It seems that much of the nation is beginning to feel the pressure from housing markets that are quickly becoming over-priced. California, which has had extreme housing inflation for years is feeling the pain of an over-priced market and home sales are beginning to slow down quickly in many areas. California many times leads national housing trends. Here is an article from MSNBC that talks about the housing market changes.

A slight increase in the supply of homes for sale brought buyers back to the table in June.

Pending home sales, a measure of signed contracts to buy existing homes, rose 0.9 percent in June compared to May, according to the National Association of Realtors. Sales, however, were 2.5 percent lower than they were in June 2017. Pending home sales have been down annually for six straight months.

Sales increased in all regions of the country, rising 1.4 percent month-to-month in the Northeast, 0.5 percent in the Midwest, 1.1 percent in the South and 0.7 percent in the West. Compared to a year ago, however, sales were lower in all regions – weakest in the West.

"After two straight months of pending sales declines, home shoppers in a majority of markets had a little more success finding a home to buy last month," said Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the Realtors. "The positive forces of faster economic growth and steady hiring are being met by the negative forces of higher home prices and mortgage rates."

The severe shortage of homes for sale has been plaguing the housing market for more than a year. As demand rises, prices continue to heat up, with multiple offers more the norm than the exception. Total housing inventory at the end of June rose 0.5 percent compared to June of 2017, the first annual increase in three years.

"Even with slightly more homeowners putting their home on the market, inventory is still subpar and not meeting demand. As a result, affordability constraints are pricing out some would-be buyers and keeping overall sales activity below last year's pace," added Yun.

Affordability has hit the West especially hard. Home sales in southern California plummeted in June, according to CoreLogic, as buyers came up against red-hot prices. Some sellers are starting to lower prices, and real estate agents there are reporting fewer bidding wars. This could mark a turn in the market.

The rise in pending home sales, albeit very small for the month, does show that as more inventory comes on the market, there are buyers waiting to meet it. One headwind going forward is mortgage rates. They barely moved at all in June but started to edge higher again in July. Should rates move even more decisively higher, especially amid still-high home prices, sales could weaken further.

Have an awesome week!

THIS WEEK'S HOT HOME LISTING!

 BOLTON HILL RD

Price: $990,000    Beds: 4    Baths: 3.5    Sq Ft: 3700

Stunning estate w/ amazing valley view! Enjoy beautiful sunsets & sunrises over Fern Ridge Lake & Three Sisters mountains from a serene & private hillside. Oak & hickory hardwoods, marble & porcelain tile. Master suite. Bonus rm w/ balcony, office &... View this property >>

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Good Morning!

 

Rents have crept up in most communities just as home prices have.  In fact in many areas rents have increased at a higher rate than home prices.  I find today that many of the renters are paying more money to rent than they would be spending on a home payment.  By renting they are also losing out on some great opportunities such as depreciation and interest tax deductions.  Renters are also just making the landlords payments and not building equity.  Long term the buidling of equity in a home is one of the greatest wealth building opportunities for most people.  The followng is an article from "Realtor.com" on a recent study of the current trend towards renting.

 

A growing percentage of apartment renters aren’t interested in buying a home as affordability challenges take a bigger toll on American aspirations of homeownership.

 

In all, 20% of renters said they have no interest in owning a home, up from 17% in August and 13% in 2016, according to results of a semiannual survey of renters by mortgage company Freddie Mac in January.

 

Two-thirds of renters who plan to continue renting said they are doing so for financial reasons, up from 59% two years ago, according to the survey. 

 

“Housing is becoming less and less affordable. Renting is perceived to be the more affordable housing option,” said David Brickman, an executive vice president at Freddie Mac and head of its multifamily division.

 

The growing preference for renting comes even as the economy has strengthened and credit has loosened, in theory making homeownership possible for more people. Renters generally report being better off financially, with some 39% saying they have money to take them beyond the next payday, up from 34% in August, according to Freddie.

 

But home prices have risen strongly in recent years while rent increases have slowed, especially for luxury buildings in urban centers. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index rose 6.2% in January from the same month a year earlier, while the average apartment rent increased a more manageable 3.9% in the first quarter from a year earlier, according to real-estate research firm Reis Inc.

 

The preference for renting is being driven in part by baby boomers, who are more likely to have experienced some of the pitfalls of homeownership. Some 35% of baby boomers said they have no interest in owning a home, up from 31% in August and 23% two years ago, according to the Freddie Mac survey.

 

At the same time, concerns about affordability are most prevalent among younger renters. Nearly three-quarters of millennials said they are renting for financial reasons, up from 59% two years ago.

 

The survey was taken in late January, so it likely doesn’t reflect the full impact of the tax bill that passed in late December and shifted the equation in favor of renting for many households.

 

Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

88107 Keola Ln

Price: $595,000   Beds: 3   Baths: 3   Sq. Ft.: 3,488

Luxurious rural living! Serene tree views surround 1.79 acres. Every room has been updated! Tubular skylights, recessed LED lights, quartz and granite counters, solid oak floors, new tile floors and carpet, fresh interior paint and more. Master suite on main level. Large kitchen, formal dining, living plus family room, vaulted bonus room, laundry/mud room, 3 fireplaces. 4-car garage, RV parking, greenhouse, orchard...View property

 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!! 

Household Net Worth Neared $100 Trillion

by Galand Haas

Good Morning!

Yes, our national economy is taking off.  Wages are up, employment is up and many economists say that this is just the beginning of a long improvement.  The value of homes across the nation have steadily increased since the recession and have added to a large increase in national wealth.

 

Americans are feeling richer. Household net worth neared $100 trillion in the final quarter of last year, falling into record territory, according to new data released by the Federal Reserve on Thursday. Rising stock markets and property prices were attributed to the jolt in the fourth quarter. (Household net worth is the value of all of a consumer’s assets, like stocks and real estate, minus any liabilities like mortgage and credit card debt.)

 

Household net worth increased more than $2 trillion last quarter to a record $98.7 trillion in the final three months of last year, according to the report. Households in the U.S. saw their net worth increase to nearly seven times their disposable personal income in 2017.

 

 

The impact real estate has had on that increase can’t be understated, economists say. The value of households’ real estate rose $511.2 billion, which reflects recent run-ups in home prices.

 

But the rate at which consumers are saving is concerning, JPMorgan Chase Economist Michael Feroli told The Wall Street Journal. The saving rate was 3.74 percent in 2017, down from 7.19 percent in 2015.

 

Have An Awesome Week!

 

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

309 Country Club Rd, Eugene OR

$215,000    Bedrooms: 1    Bathrooms: 1    SQ FT: 801 

Marvelous condo in highly desirable Ferry Street Bridge! Wonderfully updated, acacia hardwood, quartz counters, vaulted ceiling, exposed beams, recessed lights, open layout. One bedroom with walk-in closet and vanity with attached bathroom. Bonus room with wall of windows and French doors. Laundry area with built-in storage. Carport with extra storage. Located next to Eugene Country Club, only 3 minute drive to shops & freeway access. View property


AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

 

The New U.S. Tax Code and Its Affect On You

by Galand Haas

Good Morning!

There are many questions about the new tax plan currenty beeing looked at by the Senate.  How will it affect all of us?  There is much debate ahead and mostly likely many changes ahead before a bill is passed. The following is an article from "Realtor.com"  that goes over what is currently being discussed.

After months of internal debate among Republicans, the House Ways and Means Committee released the details of its plan to overhaul the U.S. tax code for businesses and individuals. The highlights include lower rates for many individual households but not the highest earners; fewer individual tax brackets; a larger standard deduction for households who don’t itemize their tax bills; trimmed-back deductions for state and local taxes; eventual repeal of the estate tax; and much lower rates for corporate profits and profits for individuals on unincorporated business income. Here is a look at all of the details.

New tax brackets and rates

Tax treatment for the wealthy is among the hottest issues. The House Republican tax plan will preserve a top individual tax rate of 39.6%. Republicans last year had been discussing a top rate of 33%, and then moved to 35% earlier this year.

The retention of the 39.6% individual tax rate marks a shift in the way Republicans think about tax policy. For years, they had focused on driving down that top tax rate. President Trump says he is instead focused on middle-income cuts and large changes to the business tax code, which he argues will boost growth and hiring.

Effect on deductions and credits

The plan aims to increase the standard deduction, while adjusting several other deduction and credits.

House Republicans had planned to release the bill Wednesday but delayed it until Thursday to finish technical work on the legislation and address thorny issues such as how to treat deductions for state and local taxes. Party leaders want to repeal the deduction, but that has sparked a rebellion from lawmakers in high-tax states like New York and New Jersey and set off a scramble for compromise, centered on keeping the deduction for property taxes.

Standard Deduction

• Current law for 2017: $12,700 (married); $9,350 (head of household); $6,350 (single)

• Proposed for 2018: $24,400 (married); $18,300 (head of household); $12,200 (single)

Personal Exemption

• Current law for 2017: $4,050

• Proposed: Repealed Child Tax Credit

• Current law: $1,000

• Proposed: $1,600 plus $300 each for the taxpayer, a spouse and any non-child dependents

State and Local Taxes

• Current law: Itemized deduction

• Proposed: Deduction capped at $10,000 for property tax only

Charitable Donations

• Current law: Itemized deduction

• Proposed: Unchanged

Mortgage Interest Deduction

• Current law: Itemized deduction on loans up to $1 million

• Proposed: Itemized deduction for loans up to $500,000 on new home purchases

Alternative Minimum Tax

• Current law: Parallel tax that disallows personal exemptions and state deductions• Proposed: Repealed

Retirement Accounts

• Current law: 401(k) plans allow pretax deferral of up to $18,000

• Proposed: Minor changes


Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEK'S HOT HOME LISTING!

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927 S. 58th Street
Price: $299,900 Beds: 3 Baths: 2 Sq Ft: 1522
Beautiful brand new home from builder Gary Konold. One level home features CORETec floors, granite counters, vaulted/high ceilings, gas fireplace & Great Room. Dining area w/ slider, kitchen w/ SS appliances, recessed lighting & peninsula with eatin...


AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!! 

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Photo of Galand Haas Team  Real Estate
Galand Haas Team
Keller Williams Realty Eugene and Springfield
2644 Suzanne Way
Eugene OR 97408
Direct: (541) 349-2620
Fax: 541-687-6411

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