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Galand Haas

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Local Market Activity for January 2017

by Galand Haas

Good Morning,

The January numbers are in for the Eugene and Springfield Real Estate market.  Our current trend continues with higher home prices and a very low inventory of homes on the market for sale.  Home prices are up over 8% over the past twelve months, which along with a slight bump in mortgage interest rates has made our local market the least affordable it has been in over three years.

Don't look for this trend to end quickly.  If you are wanting to purchase a home this year, you may have more difficulty finding that perfect home.  Many of the homes that we are currently finding for our buyers are homes that we have knowledge of before they hit the market.  If you are serious about purchasing a home this year, your best bet would be to contact us, so that we can determine what you are wanting to purchase and then work to find you that home.  It's harder, but we have been very successful at it.

 

January Residential Highlights

Lane County started the year a little cooler than last January. Closed sales (273) fared 5.0% better than in January 2016 (260) although falling 26.2% compared to last month in December 2016 (370).

Pending sales, at 318 for the month, ended 3.6% under the 330 offers accepted last January but were 27.7% ahead of last month in December 2016.

Similarly, new listings, at 320, ended 23.8% below last January (420) but showed a 48.8% increase from the 215 new listings offered last month in December 2016.

Inventory increased in Lane County to 2.1 months in January, with total market time decreasing by twelve days to end at 72 days.

Average and Median Sale Prices

Comparing the average price of homes in the twelve months ending January 31st of this year ($264,800) with the average price of homes sold in the twelve months ending January 2016 ($244,400) shows an increase of 8.3%. The same comparison of the median shows an increase of 7.7% over that same period.


Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

 

1004 Leopold

Price: $257,500    Beds: 4    Baths: 3    Half Baths: 1    Sq Ft: 2715

A beautiful & luxurious home built along a wonderful park. This spacious home includes 2 master suites (1 upstairs & 1 downstairs), large kitchen, formal dining, open living room with gas fireplace, an upstairs bonus & plenty of storage throughout. ...View Home for Sale>>


AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

2017 Housing Forecast

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

Anyone who has been keeping in touch with either the local or national housing market trends knows that 2016 was a record year for home sales.  2017 is starting off totally different than the previous year, though.  There are many questions as to what kind of Real Estate market 2017 will turn out to be.  Here is an article from Realtor.com that talks about the direction that the 2017 housing market will most likely take.

The days of multiple bids and offers that are typically way higher than a home’s asking price—you know, that stuff that we now consider to be normal in the housing biz—aren’t expected to disappear anytime soon. But here’s the good news: Things aren’t expected to get too much worse in 2017 either.

Rising mortgage rates, as well as a dearth of affordable, existing homes (i.e., previously lived-in residences) on the market, are expected to lead to a smaller increase in sales in 2017, according to the latest quarterly survey from the National Association of Realtors®.

The survey was of nearly 2,800 U.S. households and conducted from October through early December.

Existing-home prices are expected to go up 4% in 2017, slowing down just a bit from 5% in 2016, according to NAR.The pace of sales is also expected to slow, rising just 2% in 2017, compared with 3.3% in 2016

All in all, 2016 is expected to be the best year for existing-home sales since the height of the housing boom in 2006.

The challenges ahead2017 will “be a year of growth in both sales and prices,” says Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke of realtor.com®. “But that growth will be slower than what we’ve seen over the last three years.”

Those higher mortgage rates have already driven monthly mortgage payments up 7% since the presidential election, Smoke says. And those bigger bills are expected to make it harder for wannabe homeowners, particularly first-time buyers, to qualify for loans.

That’s in addition to the low inventory of available homes on the market that they need to contend with. In November, there were 12% fewer new and existing homes for sale on realtor.com than the same month a year earlier.

Still, the majority of households surveyed still believe now is a good time to buy a home, But fewer renters are getting the buying bug these days. That’s because housing prices are continuing to go up, making affordability an ever bigger challenge, says Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist.

“Younger households, renters, and those living in the costlier West region—where prices have soared in recent months—are the least optimistic about buying,” Yun said in a statement.

According to the survey, about three-quarters of current homeowners who are over 45, make more than $50,000 a year, and live in the Midwest or South were the most confident that now is the time to close on the homes of their dreams.

They are typically the most financially stable or live in the most affordable regions of the country.

But for everyone else, it’s not all doom and gloom. Lenders are beginning to make more loans to buyers with lower credit scores and down payments as well as higher debt-to-income ratios as a result of rising mortgage rates, says Smoke.

That’s because fewer homeowners are likely to refinance their mortgages now that rates have gone up. To make up for that loss in business, lenders have to issue more loans. And higher rates can net mortgage makers higher profits, he says.

“Lenders are getting more aggressive,” Smoke says. “Credit access already appears to be improving because of the rates.”

Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

1615 Taney St

Price: $269,000    Beds: 4    Baths: 2    ス Baths: 1    Sq Ft: 1913

Brand new home! Great quality construction with plaster finished walls, maple hardwood & porcelain tile floor, hickory cabinets, granite counters, 9 ft ceiling, LED dimming lights, 3 skylights one of which opens. Great room layout with gas fireplace...View Home for Sale >>


AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

5 Main Causes of Our Housing Shortage

by Galand Haas

Good Morning!

As I have been writing about in previous weeks posts, the inventory of homes for sale both in the U.S. market and here locally in the Eugene and Springfield market is at historic low levels.  In Eugene and Springfield, we remain at just 1.6 months of home inventory, second lowest in the nation.  A healthy Real Estate market will typically have around 6 months of inventory. This is a balanced market.  The following is an article from CNBC that talks about the national housing shortage and some of its causes.

House hunters out this spring will have to pound more and more pavement to find their home sweet home.

The number of for-sale listings fell again in December to the lowest level since 1999, according to the National Association of Realtors. There were just 1.65 million homes for sale at the end of December, which at the current sales pace would take only about 3 ½ months to exhaust. A normal, balanced market has about a six-month supply. This, as the busy spring market is already on the verge of starting. "To say early buyer demand is strong in early 2017 is an understatement — it is titanic. Redfin data shows that buyers are out touring in droves, ready to pounce on new listings that fit the bill," said Nela Richardson, chief economist at Redfin. "The only thing missing is homes for sale to satisfy demand because there just aren't a lot of homes available to buy right now. We are in a real estate black hole until those listings show up again."

In some local markets, the situation is more dire. The share of communities with supply at less than three months jumped from about 13 percent to more than 20 percent in the past year, according to a survey by Proteck Valuation Services, a real estate appraisal and analytics company. For example, in Dallas, the supply of homes for sale dropped by nearly 41 percent from December 2015 to December 2016.

"This means fierce competition for homes, where buyers that are able to act fast and pose less risk to the seller have the advantage. These 'favored' buyers would include those already pre-approved for a mortgage, those with larger cash down payments and those with no contingencies (like the sale of another home)," according to the Proteck report.

The shortage is being driven by surging demand and weak home construction. Single-family housing starts continue to rise, but very slowly each month. Builders are still operating at well below normal construction levels, and that doesn't even account for pent-up demand from the housing crisis and growing household formation.

"The homeownership rate is at a near 50-year low, and it could remain at this level," said Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the NAR. "I'm not sure if this is the trend that America wants."

"We are in a real estate black hole until those listings show up again." Nela Richardson, chief economist, Redfin

The older edge of the millennial generation is finally looking toward homeownership, but finding nothing but frustration in their neighborhoods.


Tight supply is pushing home prices past their peaks in some markets and well past income growth nationally. Mortgage rates were historically low in 2016, helping to offset the higher prices, but that is not the case this year. Rates are already up significantly since the election and are expected to continue higher. Only a few of the big volume home builders are putting resources into the starter home market.

"I continuously say that the industry and the first-time buyer need more homes priced below $250,000, but the high costs of lots, labor and regulations puts tight margins on this price point. In coming months we'll watch to see what influence the rise in rates had," said Peter Boockvar, chief market analyst at The Lindsey Group.

First-time buyers continue to make up less than a third of the sales market; historically they are usually at about 40 percent. Affordability is weakening, but mortgage credit availability also continues to be difficult.

As rates rise, fewer potential borrowers qualify for the strict debt-to-income levels lenders now require. Some are looking to the Trump administration to loosen regulations on lenders, but that could take time and is unlikely to happen before the spring season. The administration already froze a last-minute cut in the FHA insurance premium by the outgoing Obama administration, which might have opened the market to more homebuyers.

"Constrained inventory in many areas and climbing rents, home prices and mortgage rates means it's not getting any easier to be a first-time buyer," said Yun. "It'll take more entry-level supply, continued job gains and even stronger wage growth for first-timers to make up a greater share of the market."

Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

1471 Barrington Ave

Price: $515,000    Beds: 5    Baths: 3    Sq Ft: 3756

Luxurious and grand! Great room with surround sound speakers, Brazilian cherry hardwood floor & gas fireplace. Huge theater/bonus room prewired for surround sound. Open kitchen with cherry stained cabinets, island, LED under & above cabinets & toe k...View Home for Sale >>


AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Eugene Oregon Ranks #2 For Lowest Housing Inventory In The Nation

by Galand Haas

Good Morning!

Is it a perfect storm situation now taking its grip on the Eugene and Springfield housing market? The overall market here is now as quiet as I have ever witnessed in my 27 years as an area Realtor.  Why would our market change from a blazing hot market to becoming this slow in just a few weeks? 

The answer is complicated, but it is primarily being fueled by the Eugene and Springfield area having the second lowest inventory of homes on the market in the entire United States.  Our home inventory rest at less that 1.7 months of active home inventory. This means that if no new homes hit the market, the current inventory would be exhausted within 1.7 months.  This creates a tough market for potential home buyers.  In our area, the hottest part of the market is median priced homes, which are typically the first time buyer homes.  There really is no inventory at this price level currently.  The majority of the active inventory is in the upper price ranges, where demand has slowed considerably.  On top of this, we have had around an 8% rise in home values in our area over the past 12 months and a rise in mortgage loan interest rates.  The combination of these two factors has made housing less affordable and pushed, even more, would be buyers into the median home price range, where there is no inventory.  Another factor that is fueling our problem is that in the Eugene and Springfield area, there are very few building lots.  The city and county's failure to expand urban growth boundaries has created a critical shortage of home building sites and virtually put a lid on new homes being built in the price ranges where there is demand.  The building lot shortage along with increased costs in permits, SDC's, etc. has pushed lot prices to all-time highs making it impossible to build new affordable housing in our area.  

Where our local market goes in 2017 remains up in the air.  The one thing that I will caution everyone about is that if you are expecting a repeat year like 2016, it is just not going to happen.  As long as home inventories in the median price ranges remain low, prices on these homes remain high and mortgage rates continue to climb, the market here will remain very quiet.

Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEK'S HOT HOME LISTING!

1499 Larkspur Avenue

Price: $180,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 1    Half Baths: 1    Sq Ft: 960

Charming, ranch-style home with modern feel and centrally located. Featuring rich hardwood floors, newer roof, countertops and vinyl windows. Other special features include a cozy living rm with wood-burning fireplace, a large bath, laundry area & c...View Home for Sale >>


AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Housing Market Outlook for 2017

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

It appears that the combination of slightly higher mortgage interest rates and the lack of available affordable housing will have a slight negative effect on the national housing market in 2017.  This situation will most likely follow the national trend locally in the Eugene and Springfield area.  Our area currently has the second lowest inventory of homes from sale in the nation.  This is a statistic that is great for anyone wanting to sell a home, but not so favorable for anyone wanting to purchase a home.  Here is an article from "Realtor.com", that address the future of the 2017 housing market nationally.

The days of multiple bids and offers that are typically way higher than a home’s asking price—you know, that stuff that we now consider to be normal in the housing biz—aren’t expected to disappear any time soon. But here’s the good news: Things aren’t expected to get too much worse in 2017 either.

Rising mortgage rates as well as a dearth of affordable, existing homes (i.e., previously lived-in residences) on the market are expected to lead to a smaller increase in sales in 2017, according to the latest quarterly survey from the National Association of Realtors®.

Existing-home prices are expected to go up 4% in 2017, slowing down just a bit from 5% in 2016, according to NAR.The pace of sales is also expected to slow, rising just 2% in 2017, compared with 3.3% in 2016

All in all, 2016 is expected to be the best year for existing-home sales since the height of the housing boom in 2006.

The Challenges Ahead

2017 will “be a year of growth in both sales and prices,” says Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke of realtor.com®. “But that growth will be slower than what we’ve seen over the last three years.”

Those higher mortgage rates have already driven monthly mortgage payments up 7% since the presidential election, Smoke says. And those bigger bills are expected to make it harder for wannabe homeowners, particularly first-time buyers, to qualify for loans.

That’s in addition to the low inventory of available homes on the market that they need to contend with. In November, there were 12% fewer new and existing homes for sale on realtor.com than the same month a year earlier.

Still, the majority of households surveyed still believe now is a good time to buy a home, But fewer renters are getting the buying bug these days. That’s because housing prices are continuing to go up, making affordability an ever bigger challenge, says Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist.

“Younger households, renters, and those living in the costlier West region—where prices have soared in recent months—are the least optimistic about buying,” Yun said in a statement.

According to the survey, about three-quarters of current homeowners who are over 45, make more than $50,000 a year, and live in the Midwest or South were the most confident that now is the time to close on the homes of their dreams.

They are typically the most financially stable or live in the most affordable regions of the country.

But for everyone else, it’s not all doom and gloom. Lenders are beginning to make more loans to buyers with lower credit scores and down payments as well as higher debt-to-income ratios as a result of rising mortgage rates, says Smoke.

That’s because fewer homeowners are likely to refinance their mortgages now that rates have gone up. To make up for that loss in business, lenders have to issue more loans. And higher rates can net mortgage makers higher profits, he says.

“Lenders are getting more aggressive,” Smoke says. “Credit access already appears to be improving because of the rates.”

Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEK'S HOT HOME LISTING!

Lot 8 Vineyard Hill Dr

Price: $250,000    Beds: 0    Baths: 0    Lot Size: 5 acres

Spectacular setting in The Vineyards At Gimpl Hill. Five acres of level and rolling hills in the heart of wine country. Private gated community offers gorgeous valley and tree views. Only a 7 minute drive to town....View Property for Sale >>


AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Local Market Activity for December 2016

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

2016 was a hot year for home sales in the Eugene and Springfield market areas.  The biggest story of 2016 though is the fact that the inventory of homes for sale was low all year and ended the year at 1.7 months of active inventory.  Home sales in general slacked off towards the end of the year, but much of this was due to the low inventory of homes for sale.  This trend has carried over into January of 2017 as well.

Lane County ended the year with some cooling, but new listings saw a slight uptick from last year. The 215 new listings offered in December surged 1.9% ahead of the 211 new listings offered last year in December 2015, despite a 22.1% decrease compared to last month in November 2016 (276).


Closed sales (370) fell 6.1% short of the 394 closings posted in December 2015 and 1.6% short of the 376 closings posted last month in November 2016.

Pending sales, at 249, fared similarly, showing a decrease of 9.8% from December 2015 (276) and 23.9% from November 2016 (327).

Total market time increased to 77 days in December, with inventory decreasing slightly to 1.7 months.

Year to Date Summary

Comparing the whole of 2016 to the same in 2015, closed sales (5,163) increased 6.1% and pending sales (5,241) increased 3.4%. New listings (6,173) decreased 3.3%.

Average and Median Sale Prices

Comparing 2016 to 2015, the average sale price rose 8.3% from $243,500 to $263,700. In the same comparison, the median sale price rose 7.7% from $220,000 to $237,000.


Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

1615 Taney St

Price: $269,000    Beds: 4    Baths: 2    Half Baths: 1    Sq Ft: 1913

Brand new home! Great quality construction with plaster finished walls, maple hardwood & porcelain tile floor, hickory cabinets, granite counters, 9 ft ceiling, LED dimming lights, 3 skylights one of which opens. Great room layout with gas fireplace...View Home for Sale >>



AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!


This Month in Real Estate Januaury 2017

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

Home values are 8.1% higher in Lane County, 2015 through 2016.  The trend of increased home values is taking place nationally as well.  At this time, home values in Lane County are above the level they were at prior to the Great Recession.  This means that all of that home value we lost during the recession is back.  This is great news for home buyers who purchased a home at the top of the market prior to the recession.  Many of the homeowners who were underwater in regards to their homes value vs what they owed are smiling again.  

It is very hard to look into the crystal ball and predict where home values will go in 2017, but my guess is that they will continue to rise, but maybe at a slower pace like 2%-3%.  If values rise within these percentages, it will make for a very healty housing market.  This is the kind of market we want to see and one that most likely will result in a stable housing market.

Have An Awesome Week!

Video Link: http://eugeneoregonhomesforsale.com/video/This-Month-in-Real-Estate-January-2017

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

1471 Barrington Ave

Price: $529,900    Beds: 5    Baths: 3    Sq Ft: 3756

Luxurious and grand! Great room with surround sound speakers, Brazilian cherry hardwood floor & gas fireplace. Huge theater/bonus room prewired for surround sound. Open kitchen with cherry stained cabinets, island, LED under & above cabinets & toe k...View Home for Sale >>


AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

7 Tips Toward Homeownership

by Galand Haas

Good Morning!

If 2017 is the year that you are planning on making a home purchase, the environment is going to be good for doing this.  The following are some guidelines for a home purchase that were published in "Realty Times".  

Thinking about buying your first home? What an exciting time this is bound to be. And, also, what a (potentially) overwhelming, confusing, and stress-filled time. It can easily veer into scary territory if you're not prepared and not surrounding yourself with professionals who can help guide you in the right direction.

These seven tips can help you make that dream of homeownership come true in 2017.

1. Work with the right real estate agent

The guy next door or your brother's girlfriend's cousin who just got his real estate license may be hungry to get your business, but that doesn't mean he's your best bet. An experienced agent quite simply knows things that someone who is brand new probably doesn't. An experienced agent will also have important relationships in place that may be able to help buyers in every facet of the home purchase, including:

  • Finding houses that aren't even listed yet

  • Finding homes that may be slightly outside of a buyer's criteria but that are worthy of consideration

  • Leveraging industry relationships to get you great deals or better terms

  • Managing appraisals and inspections

  • Working through every step of the purchase process and handling any issues that pop up along the way

  • Negotiating a deal that works for both sides

2. Don't be afraid to talk to multiple lenders

Your Realtor will most likely have several lenders they have worked with and can refer you to. You may also want to speak to loved ones and get a referral or two from someone they've worked with successfully. Each lender may have a different recommendation and/or knowledge of a special loan that works for you, so it makes sense to look at a few different options.

3. Mind your credit

Many people have no idea what their credit score is, but if you're thinking about buying a home, knowledge is power. Different loans have different minimum credit score requirements, and it could be that your score doesn't measure up for the best loan rates, or maybe you need to do some work to qualify for even the most lenient loan.

A good mortgage lender can advise you on your best options to raise your score, from removing any errors on your credit report, to paying any delinquent accounts, to exploring credit repair options. The earlier you learn your score and delve into the details with a qualified lender, the more time you have to address any issues you find.

4. Save, save, save

For many people, getting the down payment together is the hardest part of buying a home. And the closing costs can be an unwelcome surprise for those who weren't expecting to have to come up with even more cash. When you first set out to buy a home, make sure you know how much you have to save. Your lender should be able to give you a pretty good ballpark based on a certain home price. Housing experts recommend adding 5% to that number just to be safe.

Even if you've never been a great saver in the past, there are strategies you can use that will help you build the nest egg you need for your down payment and closing costs, including these tips from nerdwallet:

  • Automatic transfers from your checking account to your savings can help to make the process mandatory - and maybe a little less painful.
  • Save raises and bonuses rather than spending them.
  • Set aside tax refunds.
  • Keep the change. At least a couple of banks have variations on this theme. For example, Bank of America allows debit card users to sign up for a service that rounds up purchases to the nearest dollar and puts the change into a linked savings account.
  • Visualize your goal. Slap big, beautiful photos of your dream house on the refrigerator, near your office workspace - and wrap a small one around the primary credit card in your wallet. You might charge less and save more."
  • As for where to put that money while you watch it grow, experts recommend that "If the plan is to become a homeowner in the next 12 months, the money should be kept completely liquid. That means you can easily access it at any time," said CNN Money. "The best way to do that is in a good old-fashioned savings account, Schulte said. Look for one with a higher yield. In today's low rate environment, that probably means an online-only account like Ally or Synchrony Bank, which currently pay around 1% annually."

5. Lock in your rate

Rates can be unpredictable. Locking in a rate when you get close to buying, which your lender will undoubtedly recommend, can protect you if rates rise. Many lenders also offer a one-time adjustment in case rates go down.

6. Stay at your job

Not happy at work and thinking about making a change? If you're looking to buy a home, you may have to delay that plan. Part of your qualification for a mortgage will be based on your job history. Making a big change just before you buy or during the escrow process will be problematic. Lenders advise buyers to stay the course until after the home closes escrow.

7. Don't open new credit cards or buy a new car

Your lender will spell out the do's and don'ts of how to protect your credit when trying to buy a house, but if you haven't yet talked to anyone and you think you're getting close to be purchase-ready, that Kohl's card you take out to save 20% on your $100 bill could cost you. Before you take out any new debt, check with a lender.

Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

2445 Elysium Ave

Price: $350,000    Beds: 4    Baths: 2    Half Baths: 1    Sq Ft: 2172

Remarkable remodel! Luxurious updates, lots of natural light, abundant storage, large corner lot. Large atrium entry with flagstone tile. Spacious family room with vaulted ceiling, beams, Coretec Plus vinyl wood floor, 2 sliders & gas fireplace. Ope...View Home for Sale >>


AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Happy New Year!

by Galand Haas

HAPPY NEW YEAR 2017!!

Video Link: http://eugeneoregonhomesforsale.com/video/Happy-New-Year-2017

 

THIS WEEK'S HOT HOME LISTING!

28135 Spencer Creek Rd

Price: $1,250,000    Beds: 4    Baths: 4    Partial Baths: 2    Sq Ft: 6143

Just minutes from town! This gated country estate is spectacular with an exquisite manor featuring grand staircase, 4 bedroom suites, office, theater room, gourmet kitchen and more. Great shop for RV and storage, creek, waterfall pool, ponds for fis...View Home for Sale >>


AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Merry Christmas!

by Galand Haas


HAVE A VERY MERRY CHRISTMAS!!!

Video Link: http://eugeneoregonhomesforsale.com/video/Christmas-Collection-Bing-Crosby-Have-yourself-a-merry-little-Christmas

 

THIS WEEK'S HOT HOME LISTING


1471 Barrington Ave

Price: $529,900    Beds: 5    Baths: 3    Sq Ft: 3756

Luxurious and grand! Great room with surround sound speakers, Brazilian cherry hardwood floor & gas fireplace. Huge theater/bonus room prewired for surround sound. Open kitchen with cherry stained cabinets, island, LED under & above cabinets & toe k...View Home for Sale >>


AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

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