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Talk of a potential slowdown in the U.S. economy

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

Talk of a potential slowdown in the U.S. economy is currenty having little effect on the national housing market.  Any current slowdown in housing right now is most likely going to be fueled more by inflation with home prices.  The unknow is, how much inflation will influence the potential for a recession.  Here is an article from "Realtor.com" that talks about recession risks and the national housing market.

While the U.S. economy has been chugging upward for the last seven years, the good times could be coming to an end. But that isn't deterring determined home shoppers from trying to close on a home.

Whether it's sooner or later, most home buyers, according to a recent realtor.com® survey, believe a recession is on the way (much like winter on "Game of Thrones"). About 70% of home shoppers believe the United States will enter a recession within the next three years.

More than 1,000 active home buyers participated in the survey.

"There may be concern among some consumers, but economists and analysts generally expect that the next recession will be more mild than the [Great Recession], particularly in the housing market," says Danielle Hale, realtor.com's chief economist.

However, these gray clouds on the horizon could have a silver lining. If a downturn hits, about 41% of shoppers expect the housing market will fare better than it did in the Great Recession of a decade ago. Another 36% of respondents believe it's going to be worse, while 23% think it'll be just as bad.

Yet other life factors are simply closer to home.

Another recession isn't going to stop information technology specialist Richard Fame, 51, of Eastpointe, MI, from selling his home to buy a new one.

"It is inevitable," Fame adds, of his family's facing the possibility of an economic downturn. "If I make money on my current house, that's great, but I know I'm going to need to move."

In his family's case, moving to a better school district outweighs fears of a housing crash.

"Our next house will be for the long term," explains Fame.

Low mortgage interest rates could help to buoy the housing market as well. Rates fell to just 4.06% this week on 30-year fixed-rate loans, according to Freddie Mac. This could spur more buyers to close before rates go back up again.

The housing slowdown, which began over the summer as prices in many markets reached unheard-of highs and more sellers rushed to list their homes to cash in, could also lure buyers to seal the deal. It's resulted in more inventory and given home shoppers more options. And while home prices aren't coming down in most of the country, they are seeing a slower rate of appreciation.

Why a recession could be heading our way 

There are a number of factors that suggest a downturn could be looming—but that doesn't mean folks should panic just yet. Despite high home prices, it doesn't appear that there's a housing bubble about to burst due to bad mortgages and an over-inflated market. Instead, a U.S. trade war with China could spur one; or a disastrous Brexit. Or it could just be that after some really good years, the good times eventually have to end.

"Workers are scarce, with the unemployment rate near record lows, and that's pushing up wages," says Hale. "Employers have to pay to attract workers, which could eventually translate into higher prices and cause consumption to slow."

That can cause inflation, a problem that can snowball if it increases at a higher pace than wages. The U.S. Federal Reserve typically tries to keep inflation in check by raising interest rates. This, in turn, makes it costlier for companies to borrow money to open up new operations, invest in new equipment, or hire new employees. And that can slow down the economy.

"I don't think the next recession will be as severe for the housing market as the last one," says Hale. "This one isn't likely to be as bad."

Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

5241 Sugarpine Cir  

Price: $265,000    Beds: 2    Baths: 2.0    Sq Ft: 1188

Charming home thats been well maintained. Covered front entry with 2 car garage. Open kitchen & dining combo, tile floors, white cabinets, laundry room, and walk-in pantry. Open living room with pellet stove. Fenced & private back yard with patio and...View this property >> 

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Inventory Could Shift The Market

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

I am seeing a trend in our local housing market that is not good.  The overall market remains strong, but the inventory of homes remains low and dropped from that of March.  In February we had an inventory of 2.2 months and this declined in March to 1.8 months.  At the same time, we had an increase in the cost of homes in our area.  There are fewer homes on the market and those homes that are for sale are continuing to be more expensive.  The primary issue here is that there really are not many homes available for the first time buyer in our area.  First time buyers purchasing homes are what keeps a housing market healthy.  Our market in Eugene and Springfield in my mind is anything but healthy at this point.  It has been a great market for sellers and a horrible market for buyers for some time now.  Now with housing prices soaring, the market is becomeing tougher for sellers, even though the inventory is lower.  This is due to affordability.  This cannot sustain itself and I am predicting that at some point this year, we will see this market shift dramatically. Time will tell.  Here are the numbers for Lane County home sales during March of 2019.

March Residential Highlights

Lane County saw an uptick in seasonal activity this March, but had cooler activity than in 2018. There were 453 pending sales, ending 7.4%under the 489 offers accepted last year in March 2018 but 47.1% aheadof the 308 offers accepted last monthin February 2019.

New listings, at 444, slipped 16.4%from March 2018 (531) but ended 35.0% ahead of the 329 new listings offered last month in February 2019.

Closed sales (314) fared similarly, showing a 22.3% decrease from March 2018 (404) and a 9.0% increase compared with February 2019 when 288 closings were recorded.

Inventory decreased to 1.8 months in March, with total market time decreasing to 60 days.

Average and Median Sale Prices

Comparing the average price of homes ending March 31st of this year ($311,900) with the average price of homes sold in the twelve months ending March 2018 ($292,800) shows an increase of 6.5%. The same comparison of the median shows an increase of 7.5% over the same period.

 

Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

2945 Ava Street  

Price: $337,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 2.0    Sq Ft: 1570

New Construction. this home is sure to impress. Open Living, Dining, & Kitchen. Great for entertaining. Master suite with walk-in closet and master bath. Two additional bedrooms are on opposite side of house. This home includes a Laundry room and a...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

The Future Of The Market

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

Nationally, homes sales were up slightly during the month of March of 2019. At the same time, home prices increased slightly as mortgage interest rates dipped.  This slight increase in both sales and home prices is good news for what is now appearing to be a steady Real Estate market for most of the country in 2019.  If mortgage interest rates hold or even decline further, this will certainly help maintain an active market. The key is to keep home prices from escalating at any kind of fast pace.  Home price increases would potentially negate the decrease in mortgage interest rates.

With a market that appears to be stable and home prices remaining high, this is a very good time to think about selling your home.  This is especailly true in the Eugene and Springfield area where demand for homes remains very high and inventories remain low.

 

Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

3329 Coburg Road  

Price: $455,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 2.5    Sq Ft: 1771

New Construction. Acacia engineered hardwood in entry. Office, living room, kitchen, and family room. Bathrooms and utility room have tile flooring. Home has stained hickory cabinets & quartz countertops throughout. Master suite with tile bathroom...View this property >> 

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Here's Why You Don't Want To Wait

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

Both the national and local housing markets are very interesting to watch right now.  Mortgage interest rates have just recently taken a large drop and are now hovering at just over 4%.  Mortgage rates are predicted to stay low and we may even see a further decline in rates ahead.  Typically, a decrease in mortage rates is followed by an increase in home sales activity.  This could take place, but nationally we saw a significant decrease in the number of home sales in Febraury. Home sales have been trending downwards and the mortgage interest rate decline could slow or even put a stop to the home sale trend.  Locally, home sales have slowed and the housing market in the Eugene and Springfield area feels to be very fragile. One of the largest concerns for our local market is the continued lack of home supply.  The number of active homes for sale remains extremely low and this situation does not seem to be easing.  The lack of inventory over the past several years has fueled home prices and now home affordability has become a huge factor in our local market.  Could we actually see a market with very low inventory and low demand as well.  This is quite possible and the next several months will certainly tell the story.

My advice to anyone thinking about selling a home in the Eugene and Springfield area in 2019 is to get your home on the market right now.  By waiting until late Spring or even Summer to sell your home, you are gambling with what price your home might sell for.  Right now the inventory of homes for sale in most local areas remains extremely low, especially in the $350,000 range and below.  Buyer demand in most price ranges other than the upper tier ranges remains good.  This however could change as we move through the year.  Right now just may be your best opportunity to sell at higher price

Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

2945 Ava Street  

Price: $350,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 2.0    Sq Ft: 1570 

New Construction. this home is sure to impress. Open Living, Dining, & Kitchen. Great for entertaining. Master suite with walk-in closet and master bath. Two additional bedrooms are on opposite side of house. This home includes a Laundry room and a...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Spring Into Your New Home

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

If you are considering the purchase of a home soon and you have been waiting for mortgage interest rates to drop, this could be your time to act.  Mortgage interest rates are down across the board and they may stay down for several months.  If you have been waiting for a window to buy, this is it. Lower rates mean lower payments and also can increase purchase power.  With Spring coming and more homes due to hit the market, the next couple of months could be the best time to purchase a home this year.  The following article is from "Realtor.com" and it talks about the current mortgage loan market.

Rates for home loans fell, with no bottom in sight as investors increasingly brace for slowing economic growth.

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.28% in the March 21 week, mortgage guarantor Freddie Mac said Thursday. That was down 3 basis points during the week and a 13-month low for the popular product, which has managed a weekly gain only twice during 2019.

The 15-year adjustable-rate mortgage averaged 3.71%, down from 3.76%. The 5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage averaged 3.84%, unchanged during the week.

Fixed-rate mortgages follow the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note, although they move with a bit of a lag. Investors have been piling into bonds over the past week, betting on a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve.

That turned out to be the right call. After the release of the central bank’s statements, bond prices jumped, pushing yields down sharply. Freddie’s weekly mortgage survey captures activity through Tuesday, so the big bond market moves of this week will likely be reflected in mortgage rates next week.

This may be the sweet spot for borrowers. Lower rates are obviously a boon for the housing market, which has struggled in the face of a supply crunch, rising prices, and outsize demand. But the economy hasn’t slowed enough that people are losing their jobs. Americas are still showing signs that they want to try to become homeowners. Mortgage applications rose 1.6% over the past week as rates drifted down, the Mortgage Bankers Association said Wednesday.

But few of the other obstacles have been resolved. The average mortgage application size hit a fresh high for the third week in a row as the supply of entry-level homes dwindled, the MBA said. The upcoming spring selling season will be watched very closely for clues about how the market is doing.

Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

2230 Comstock Ave  

Price: $575,000    Beds: 4    Baths: 4.5    Sq Ft: 2904 

Builder's home with only one owner. Quiet park-like backyard. Master with his/hers sinks, jetted tub, large dual head shower, private camode, walk-in closet, two sided/see-through fireplace. Upstairs hall closet laundry plus a full laundry room area...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Mortgage Loan Options

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

There are many mortgage loan option available today and choosing the one that is best for you is important.  One of the key things that you must consider if you are in the market to purchase a home and in need of a mortgage loan, is how much money do I need to have for my down payment and how much money should I put down.  Here is an article form "Realty Times" that give you some great information on down payments.

You'd be a homeowner right now if it weren't for one thing: the down payment. Right? Even for those who have decent credit and make good money, the down payment is often the great homeownership killer.

For many others, who do have enough money set aside to make a substantial down payment, the question is: how much? Conventional wisdom—not to mention most of the banks and a good portion of homebuying and financial experts—will tell you that 20 percent is the standard bearer when it comes to down payments. But is it really necessary to put 20 percent down?

The short answer is: no.

Now for the long answer.

"Raising a 20 percent down payment isn't an easy thing to do. Fortunately, you don't have to. "It's a myth that all homebuyers must have a 20 percent down payment to buy a home," says Nancy Herrera-Siples, a Riverside, Calif., branch manager at Primary Residential Mortgage on U.S. News. "So why do you constantly hear that you need to put 20 percent down? Because if you don't, it usually means you'll have to shell out money for either private mortgage insurance or government insurance, which is usually financed by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA)."

And there's another rub for those who are already struggling to come up with the minimum down payment: that extra couple of hundred dollars per month feels like a penalty. It's not, of course—"Mortgage insurance protects the lender in case you can't make your payments and the house is foreclosed on," said U.S. News—but that money can make a significant difference for those who are stretching to buy a home.

Still, when your only option to buy is a low down payment, which can mean an FHA loan or one of the new low down payment loans from Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae—"At the end of 2014, the two government-backed companies announced plans to slash down payments from 5% to 3%," said CNN—PMI might literally be a small price to pay. Especially if swelling rents are making homeownership look more and more promising. Remember that PMI does go away eventually when your loan balance is 80 percent or less of the home's value. If you're in an area where homes are rising in value, this could happen sooner than you think.

Still confused about the ins and outs of down payments? Here are a few reasons to go high…or low.

When to make a substantial down payment

  • When you're looking to keep your monthly payment as low as possible and have cash to spare
  • When you just can't fathom paying PMI
  • When your goal is to buy a forever home and own it free and clear
  • When you are approaching retirement age and can envision a reverse mortgage sometime down the line
  • When you want to buy your house and pay it off as quickly as possible
  • When the rate is lower with a higher down payment. "The more you put down, the better position you are in for negotiating a lower interest rate with your lender," said Credit.com. Plus, a "low down payment might affect other loan features, such as…the points, which are upfront interest charges," said Banking My Way.
  • If you're worried about being under water. If the market should drop in your area, you run the risk of owing more than your home is worth


When to go low

  • When you don't have the funds for a higher down payment and can't earn or borrow them quickly enough
  • When the rate on your FHA or Fannie or Freddie loan is comparable to that you'd get with a higher down payment
  • When you need to escape a high-rent situation and the monthly payment on a house is lower than what you're currently paying, even with the PMI factored in
  • When you're confident your home will appreciate quickly, allowing you to refinance and get rid of PMI quickly
  • When your investments can't be touched without a penalty or are returning better than the interest rate you'll get on your home
  • If you have something better to do with the money. "If you bought a $400,000 home, 5% down would be $20,000, while 20% down would be $80,000—a whopping difference. An immediate need such as a college tuition payment would make the smaller down payment more appealing," said Banking My Way.
  • When you feel more secure setting money aside for emergencies instead of tying it all up in your house.

Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

2230 Comstock Ave 

Price: $575,000    Beds:4     Baths: 3.5    Sq Ft: 2904

Quiet park-like backyard. Master with his/hers sinks, jetted tub, large dual head shower, private camode, walk-in closet, two sided/see-through fireplace. Upstairs hall closet laundry plus a full laundry room area. Guest bedroom with murphy bed set in beautiful cabinetry can double as bonus area... View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Inspections 101

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

If you are purchasing a home, the home inspection is an integral part of this process. To protect your best interests, having the home you are purchasing inspected first can give you a look at the condition of the home and may save you from purchasing a home with unknown issues.  My advice to my clients is to never make a home purchase blindly and without having an expert look at all of the homes components.  Here is an article form Realty Times that gives you go information on home inspections.

If you're hiring someone to inspect the home you want to buy, or you're a seller trying to find out if there are any hidden problems that need fixing before you put your home on the market, here are five things you need to know:

1. You can choose your home inspector.

Your real estate professional can recommend an inspector, or you can find one on your own. Members of the National Association of Home Inspectors, Inc. (NAHI), must complete an approved home inspector training program, demonstrate experience and competence as a home inspector, complete a written exam, and adhere to the NAHI Standards of Practice and Code of Ethics.

2. Home inspections are intended to point out adverse conditions, not cosmetic flaws.

You should attend the inspection and follow the inspector throughout the inspection so you can learn what's important and what's not. No house is perfect and an inspection on any home is bound to uncover faults. A home inspector will point out conditions that need repair and/or potential safety-related concerns relating to the home. They won't comment on cosmetic items if they don't impair the integrity of the home. They also do not do destructive testing.

3. Home inspection reports include only the basics.

A home inspector considers hundreds of items during an average inspection. The home inspection should include the home's exterior, steps, porches, decks, chimneys, roof, windows, and doors. Inside, they will look at attics, electrical components, plumbing, central heating and air conditioning, basement/crawlspaces, and garages.

They report on the working order of items such as faucets to see if they leak, or garage doors to see if they close properly. Inspectors may point out termite damage and suggest that you get a separate pest inspection. The final written report should be concise and easy to understand.

4. Home inspectors work for the party who is paying the fee.

The NAHI Standards of Practice and Code of Ethics clearly state that members act as an unbiased third party to the real estate transaction and "will discharge the Inspector's duties with integrity and fidelity to the client." A reputable home inspector will not conduct a home inspection or prepare a home inspection report if his or her fee is contingent on untruthful conclusions.

The inspector should maintain client confidentiality and keep all report findings private, unless required by court order. That means it is your choice whether or not to share the report with others. If you're a seller, you don't have to disclose the report to buyers, but you must disclose any failure in the systems or integrity of your home.

5. Inspectors are not responsible for the condition of the home.

Inspectors don't go behind walls or under flooring, so it's possible that a serious problem can be overlooked. Keep in mind that inspectors are not party to the sales transaction, so if you buy a home where an expensive problem surfaces after the sale, you won't be able to make the inspector liable or get the inspector to pay for the damage. In fact, you may not be entitled to any compensation beyond the cost of the inspection.

As a buyer, you need the home inspection to decide if the home is in condition that you can tolerate. You can use the report to show the seller the need for a certain repair or negotiate a better price. You can also take the report to a contractor and use it to make repairs or to remodel a section of the home.

One thing you should not do when buying a home is skip having the home inspected because of cost or undue pressure by the seller. A home inspection is reasonable, it can save you money in the long run, and it's required by many lenders, particularly for FHA loans. There's a reason why buyers should beware, and a home inspection gives you the information you need to make a sound buying decision.

Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEK'S HOT HOME LISTING!

39285 Upper Camp Creek Rd  

Price: $950,000    Beds: 5    Baths: 3    Sq Ft: 3520

New Construction. this home is sure to impress. Open Living, Dining, & Kitchen. Great for entertaining. Master suite with walk-in closet and master bath. Two additional bedrooms are on opposite side of house. This home includes a Laundry room and a ...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Home Buying Trend

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!


Last month, homes sales were down nationally and home values also dipped slightly. This took place at the same time that home mortgage rates were down over the previous several months. It is too early to tell, but this could indicate the fact that the housing market is going to flatten out this year and the trend for home price increases could be over for now. We will certainly know more by mid year, but the trend over the last few months looks as if the housing market is going to slow from the fast pace of the last several years. This trend could be extremely favorable to would be homebuyers.

Have An Awesome Week!

 

THIS WEEK'S HOT HOME LISTING!

3346 Roanoke Ave 

Price: $610,000    Beds: 4    Baths: 2.5    Sq Ft: 2577

This beautiful one level home features an open concept floor plan, tall ceilings, 4 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Stainless steel Dacor appliances. Office space/den with french doors & builtins. Large island bar off kitchen, granite counters, and hardwood floors...... View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Eugene & Springfield Inventory

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

Good news for homebuyers in the Eugene and Springfield area!! The inventory of homes on the market for sale has increased slightly and believe it or not, the housing market has become slightly less competitive. This also means that pricing has become somewhat softer in some price ranges and areas. If you have been searching for a home and gave up due to the fact that you could not find a home, you should take advantage of this market change. Here are the home sales statistics for the month of November 2018 in Eugene and Springfield.

November Residential Highlights

Lane County saw an uptick in new listings this November. At 393, new listings outpaced November 2017 (345) by 13.9%, despite cooling 16.2% from the 469 new listings also entered last month in October 2018. The last November with more new listings in Lane County was in 2007,when 467 new listings were o ered.

Pending sales, at 351, ended 4.1% cooler than in November 2017 (366)and 22.9% cooler than October 2018(455).

Closed sales, at 370, similarly cooled 6.1% from November 2017(394) and 12.1% from October 2018(421).

Inventory in Lane County showed a slight increase in November, ending at 2.2 months. Total market time rose to 52 days in the same period.

Year to Date Summary

Comparing the first eleven months of 2018 to 2017, closed sales (4,848) have increased 0.8% and new listings(6,155) have increased 0.2%. Pending sales (4,952) have decreased 0.3%.

Average and Median Sale Prices

Comparing 2018 to 2017 through November of each year, the average sale price has increased 7.1% from $288,300 to $308,800. In the same comparison, the median sale price rose 8.3% from $260,000 to $281,500.

Have An Awesome Week!


THIS WEEK'S HOT HOME LISTING!

825 SAND AVE

 Price: $535,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 2    Sq Ft: 2344

Grand very well-maintained home! Light filled vaulted open layout w/ large windows & skylights. Living rm w/ gas fireplace opens to dining area. Office/bonus rm w/ exterior entrance & Shoji sliding dr/rm divider. Massive kitchen w/ cook island, pant...View this property >>

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

October Home Sale Numbers

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!


Here are the home sales numbers for October of 2018.  For the most part, there is little change taking place over previous months this year. This reflect on a market that has flattened out and maybe starting to decline slightly. This actually is good news and may help us maintain a strong housing market going into 2019.  Here is the report for Lane County in October of 2018.


October brought mixed numbers to Lane County, but new listings saw a gain over October 2017. At 469, new listings rose 5.2% ahead of the 446 new listings last year in October 2017, despite a 2.9% cooling from last month in September 2018 (483).


Closed sales (421) were 5.5% warmer than last month in September 2018 (399) but fell 1.6% short of the 428 closings recorded last year in October 2017.


Pending sales fared similarly,warming 6.1% over the 429 offers accepted in September 2018, but falling 4.6% short of the 477 accepted last year in October 2017.


Total market time rose to 43 days in October with inventory decreasing slightly to 2.1 months from 2.4 months in September.


Year to Date Summary

Comparing the first ten months of 2018 to 2017, closed sales (4,451) have increased 1.9%. Pending sales (4,611) have decreased 0.4% and new listings (5,753) have decreased 0.5%.


Average and Median Sale Prices

Comparing 2018 to 2017 through October of each year, the average sale price has increased 6.9% from $288,200 to $308,200. In the same comparison, the median sale price rose 8.5% from $260,000 to $282,000.


Have An Awesome Thanksgiving Week!


THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

1849 Crescent Ave 

Price: $329,900   Beds: 3   Baths: 2  Sq Ft: 1344

Wonderful updates in this N. Gilham home! Great Rm layout, hickory cabinets, granite counters, engineered wood flr, recessed lights, stone gas fireplace, vinyl windows & French drs w/ built-in blinds. Kitchen w/ under-mount sink, island & eating bar......

 View this property >> 



AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

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Photo of Galand Haas Team  Real Estate
Galand Haas Team
Keller Williams Realty Eugene and Springfield
2644 Suzanne Way
Eugene OR 97408
Direct: (541) 349-2620
Fax: 541-687-6411

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