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Yes, Mortgage Rates Have Increased!!

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

Yes, mortgage rates have increased over the past several months after a long run at record low levels.  This has certainly slowed our local housing  market in the Eugene and Springfield area.  With every closed door another one opens.  This is actually a great time to think about purchasing a home and here is why: The inventory of homes for sale has increased.  This means that there are far more homes available to choose from than previously.  There are not as many buyers in the market right now.  This means that the competitive market of the past is long gone and you will most likely not have to get into a bidding war. Home prices are declining and are much softer than earlier this year.  The homes you are looking at are most likely listed a lower price than even several months ago.  You may also be able to negotiate a better price than the listed price.  This is something that you could not do earlier this year or for the past several years.  Because the market is softer, you will not have to make concessions to a seller with your offer.  Up until recently, most buyers were waiving repairs, inspections or even the appraisal in order to have the opportunity of having the seller look at their offer.  Lastly, mortgage rates have increased, but they remain below the 30 year average.  Chances are that rates will increase even more in the coming months, making this a golden opportunity for a better priced home at a mortgage rate that remains lower than the 30 year average.  Remember, rents are up as well as mortgage rates and rents will continue to soar for the foreseeable future.  You are always going to be making a mortgage payment.  It’s your choice whether that mortgage payment you make is for yourself or for your landlord.  Here is a recent article from “Realtor.com”that speaks to our current mortgage loan situation.

Mortgage rates rose for the fifth consecutive week, reaching yet again the highest level since the financial crisis.

The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage climbed to 6.29%, according to a survey of lenders released Thursday by Freddie Mac. It was the second week in a row that rates topped 6%. The last time rates were this high was October 2008, when the U.S. was deep in recession.

The sharp rise is another product of the Federal Reserve’s campaign to curb decades-high inflation. On Wednesday, the central bank raised interest rates for the fifth time this year. Officials indicated that more large increases are on the way even if such moves risk a recession.

A year ago, mortgage rates were 2.88%.

Higher rates affect virtually every corner of the economy, but their effect on housing is particularly acute since higher rates can easily add hundreds of dollars to a buyer’s monthly mortgage payments.

Take a borrower who buys a $500,000 house with a 20% down payment. With a 2.88% mortgage, that person can expect to pay about $200,000 in interest over 30 years for their $400,000 loan, according to a mortgage calculator by Bankrate.com. With a 6.29% mortgage, the borrower could pay more than $490,000 in interest.

Higher rates have cooled housing significantly. Though home prices continue to notch year-over-year gains, prices are falling month-over-month. Many would-be buyers are getting priced out of homeownership. Many homeowners feel stuck in place, since selling would mean taking on a mortgage with a significantly higher rate.

The national median mortgage payment was $1,839 in August, up 33% from the start of the year, the Mortgage Bankers Association said Thursday.

Mortgage rates don’t move automatically when the Fed raises its rate. They typically rise or fall in tandem with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield, but that yield is heavily influenced by expectations for Fed rates. The 10-year yield this week hit its highest level since 2011.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

3100 Emerald Place, Eugene, OR 

Price: $575,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 2.0    SqFt: 2006

Mid Century Modern, architecturally-designed home in a great SE Eugene location! It has a fantastic spacious floorpan and a large beautiful patio to relax or entertain in while you enjoy expansive views of the City and surrounding hills. The large master bedroom features a walk in closet, ensuite and doors to a courtyard patio. You won't find another home like this one...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

The Real Estate Market Is Shifting

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

The statistics are in for home sales in Lane County for August of 2022.  As you can see, there was not significant change from July of 2022.  Remember, the sales numbers are reflective of the market 4-6 weeks prior to the close of escrow, which is what is being reported with these numbers.  The suprising fact to me was that the number of homes that are actively for sale declined.  This is not typical when the number of days it takes a home to sell increases.  When we see September home sales numbers 30 days from now, they may be more of an indication of where our home market is headed.  Nationally, home sales are dropping and home values are also in decline.  Americans lost 6.1 trillion dollars of wealth last month and most of this is the result of real estate values declining.  Most Americans wealth is tied to real estate. We are certainly transitioning from an extremely strong sellers market to a buyers market.  The next couple of months will give us a look at how deep that transition goes. Here are the home sales numbers for August 2022 in Lane County, Oregon.

Residential Highlights

New listings (497) decreased 17.2% from the 600 listed in August 2021, and decreased 13.0% from the 571 listed in July 2022.

Pending sales (458) decreased 16.6% from the 549 offers accepted in August 2021, and increased 1.3% from the 452 offers accepted in July 2022.

Closed sales (464) decreased 4.5% from the 486 closings in August 2021, and increased 17.2% from the 396 closings in July 2022.

Inventory and Market Time

Inventory decreased to 1.2 months in August. Total market time increased to 26 days.

Year-To-Date Summary

Comparing the first eight months of 2022 to the same period in 2021, new listings (4,137) decreased 2.3%, pending sales (3,368) decreased 7.1%, and closed sales (3,196) decreased 3.3%.

Average and Median Sale Prices

Comparing 2022 to 2021 through August, the average sale price has increased 11.7% from $425,900 to $475,900. In the same comparison, the median sale price has increased 11.4% from $392,000 to $436,800.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

375 72nd Place, Springfield, OR 

Price: $425,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 2.0    SqFt: 1656

Beautiful one level home, cul de sac location on large beautifully landscaped lot. Newer roof and heat pump. Spacious living room with fireplace, dining area, family room, covered patio and huge fenced backyard. This home has been extremely well mai...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Good Monday Morning!

I am talking to would be home buyers daily who are fearful of pulling the trigger on a home purchase.  Yes, mortgage interest rates are up, but at the same time, home prices in many price ranges are soft.  The competitive housing market that we had earlier this year is gone.  Each day, I see a multitude of price reductions being entered into MLS.  This is a strong indicaton of a softening housing market.  I beleive that we are on the edge of even higher mortgage rates, but right now your ability to purchase a home at a lower price than ealier in the year is extremely likley.  In fact the price you may pay for a home today may completely offset any increase in mortgage rates.  The other thing that I would like to mention is the fact that inflation is roaring and may not subside for some time.  Where is the best place to have your money during times of high inflation, it's homes and land.  Your investment into a home for your private residence, vacation home or even better an income producing property, could be the wisest investment you make right now.  Real Estate is an extemely safe investment long term.  Don't listen to the hype that this is not the time to purchase real estate.  Listening to this could cost you dearly!

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

5427 Royal Ave, Eugene, OR 

Price: $1,500,000    Beds: 4    Baths: 3.0    SqFt: 3218

One of a kind property. This close-in home and property has an 80' X 120' riding arena with 8 stalls, 24' X 40' small barn and tac room with 3 stalls, 40' X 100' barn with 10 stalls and 600 sq.ft. apartment. Arena and apartment building are Butler b...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Higher Rates And A Slowing Market

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning and Happy Labor Day!

Inflation numbers continue to plague our national economy and this is certainly having an effect on the housing market. Fears of the Fed taking measures to slow inflation with higher interest rates has slowed consumer confidence and this along with mortgage interest rates rising again, home sales have slowed both locally and nationally.

If you are considering the purchase of a home, don't let this current market scare you off. If you look at the 30 year average of 8 1/2% for mortgage interest rates, today's rates still look very favorable.  The inventory of homes on the market is much more favorable than it was back in the Spring and home buyers no longer have to get into bidding wars with other buyers.  The truth is that for home buyers, right now is a much more favorable market that what they faced earlier this year.  The time for buyers to jump in is now.  It may be a while before we see a market for home buyers like this again.  Here is a recent report on the national housing market from "Realtor.com."

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.66% as of Sept. 1, according to data released Thursday by Freddie Mac. That’s up 11 basis points from the previous week — one basis point is equal to one hundredth of a percentage point, or 1% of 1%.

The 30-year is at the highest level since June, when rates hit 5.81% the week of June 23.

The average rate on the 15-year fixed-rate mortgage rose 13 basis points over the past week to 4.98%. The 5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage averaged 4.51%, up 15 basis points from the prior week.

“The market’s renewed perception of a more aggressive monetary-policy stance has driven mortgage rates up to almost double what they were a year ago,” Sam Khater, chief economist at Freddie Mac, said in a statement.

And the increase in rates comes at a “particularly vulnerable time for the housing market,” he added, “as sellers are recalibrating their pricing due to lower purchase demand, likely resulting in continued price growth deceleration.”

So far, buyers — spooked by higher rates and economic uncertainty — continue to pull back, based on mortgage application data.

Meanwhile, sellers are having a much more difficult time. According to Realtor.com’s August report, listings are spending more days on the market, and are also taking price cuts. The number of homes available for sale is also increasing.

The National Association of Realtors expects home-price appreciation to slow to 5% by the end of this year and into 2023, down from 14.2% in the second quarter.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

3255 Strathmore Pl, Eugene, OR 

Price: $575,000    Beds: 4    Baths: 2.0    SqFt: 1892

Beautifully maintained home on large lot in desirable South Eugene! Fabulous fenced yard with two she/ he sheds(both have power). Rooms are spacious and the home is move in ready! You won't want to miss this!...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

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Haas Real Estate Team
Keller Williams Realty Eugene and Springfield
2645 Suzanne Way Suite 2A
Eugene OR 97408
Direct: (541) 349-2620
Fax: 541-687-6411

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