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Home Sales Down From Low Inventory

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

Home sales both locally and nationally continued to slump in April. Much of the reason for the downturn is the extremely low inventory of homes for sale. Home inventory issues are effecting buyers in the Eugene and Springfield area and also buyers on the national level. The market remains very strong in our local area for home sellers. Demand for housing remains strong, but would be home buyers are finding it difficut to find houses that fit their needs and price range. If the inventory of homes would improve, we would see a sharp increase in home sales numbers. Eugene and Springfiled area home sellers are still seeing multiple offers and bidding wars on many homes. The climate for selling a home remains very strong. The following is an article from "Realtor.com" that describes our recent nations housing market.

The numbers: Sales of previously-owned homes in the U.S. fell 3.4% in April for the second month in a row, as buyers continue to deal with low levels of home listings and see-sawing mortgage rates.

Sales of existing homes in the U.S. fell to an annual rate of 4.28 million in April, the National Association of Realtors said Thursday.

That’s the number of homes that would be sold over an entire year if sales took place at the same rate in every month as it did in April. The numbers are seasonally adjusted.

The drop in sales wasn’t as bad as what economists on Wall Street had expected. They forecast existing-home sales to total 4.26 million in April.

But compared with April 2022, home sales were down 23.2%.

Key details: The median price for an existing home fell by 1.7% from last April to $388,800 this year. The drop is the largest since January 2012, when home prices fell 2%.

Home prices peaked in May 2021, where they grew 25.2% annually.

The number of homes on the market rose by 7.2% in April to 1.04 million units. But the number of fresh listings is still down from a year ago, the NAR said.

Homes listed for sale remained on the market for 22 days on average, down from 29 days in March.

Sales of existing homes fell in all regions, with the sharpest drop in the West.

All-cash buyers made up 28% of sales. The share of individual investors or second-home buyers was 17%. About 29% of homes were sold to first-time home buyers.

Big picture: Despite home sales dipping in April, most of the housing data is indicating that the U.S. housing market is in broad recovery.

But a combination of issues are making it a slow one, from a lack of new home listings to see-sawing mortgage rates.

Many homeowners are reluctant to sell for two reasons: They may be reluctant to give up an ultra-low mortgage rate secured during the pandemic for a much higher one, and they also don’t want to deal with competition

Homebuilders are responding to the inventory crunch by bumping up construction of new homes. Housing starts, which refer to when a builder starts constructing a home, rose in April. Rates, on the other hand, are volatile: The 30-year mortgage rose to the highest level in two months to 6.57% as of May 12, the Mortgage Bankers Association said on Wednesday. It was 6.48% the previous week.

Given the underlying issues on supply and rates, sentiment among U.S. consumers regarding the housing market has worsened: The number of people who think it’s a bad time to buy a home has hit a 45-year high.

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Ways To Fund The Purchase Of A Home

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

If you're shopping for a new home, you may be looking for ways to fund the purchase. Taking out cash from a retirement account such as an IRA might be an option in some cases. However, before you withdraw money from an IRA, you'll want to evaluate the short-term and long-term consequences. Use the following criteria to help decide whether to use your IRA to buy a house.

Should You Withdraw From an IRA to Buy a House?

When you open an IRA, the account is established to help you save for the future. Normally you'll need to wait until you are age 59 1/2 to start withdrawing funds. If you withdraw money from the account before age 59 1/2, you will typically have to pay a 10% penalty on the amount withdrawn. The distribution will also be subject to taxes.

However, there are certain circumstances in which you might be able to take out funds from the account before reaching age 59 1/2 and not incur penalties. One exception to the early withdrawal penalty is for the purchase of a first home. While you may be eligible to withdraw, there could be long-term implications. "It is important to remember that dragging money out of your retirement account means you’ll have less money available for your golden years,” says Dan Belcher, founder and CEO at Mortgage Relief in Oklahoma City.

For instance, perhaps you decide to withdraw $5,000 from an IRA to help put together a down payment for your first home. That amount will not have the chance to grow and earn interest over decades. This means you could potentially lose thousands or tens of thousands of dollars that could have been added to your account balance before your retirement.

If you're shopping for a new home, you may be looking for ways to fund the purchase. Taking out cash from a retirement account such as an IRA might be an option in some cases. However, before you withdraw money from an IRA, you'll want to evaluate the short-term and long-term consequences. Use the following criteria to help decide whether to use your IRA to buy a house.

How to Use an IRA to Purchase a Home

If you decide to take savings from your IRA to put toward the purchase of a home, you'll first need to make sure you qualify. “As long as the funds are being used to buy a primary residence, the IRS permits first-time homebuyers to withdraw up to $10,000 from their traditional IRA without paying the customary 10% early withdrawal penalty,” Belcher says. This $10,000 exception can be applied individually, meaning a married couple could each take $10,000 from their accounts, totaling $20,000 for the down payment.

In addition to purchasing your own home, you may qualify to help others buy their first house. If you have an IRA, you could withdraw to help a child, grandchild or parent provided you meet the requirements. “The traditional IRA exemption allows for a withdrawal of up to $10,000 penalty-free, as long as the funds are used to purchase, build or rebuild a home,” says Matthew Martinez, a real estate broker and CEO at Diamond Real Estate Group in the San Francisco Bay area. “It’s crucial to know that the $10,000 is a lifetime limit, and once used, you can’t use the first-time homebuyer provision again, even with a different IRA.”

While there will not be a penalty on early IRA distributions for a first home purchase, you can expect to pay taxes on the amount withdrawn. For example, if you are in the 22% tax bracket, a $10,000 withdrawal for a home purchase will lead to $2,200 in taxes. For a couple in the 24% tax bracket who withdraws $20,000, the taxes due would come to $4,800.

How to Withdraw From a Roth IRA for a Home Purchase

For those who want to take funds from a Roth IRA rather than a traditional IRA, the rules are slightly different. "If you have a Roth IRA, you can withdraw a sum equal to the contributions you’ve made tax and penalty-free at any time,” Martinez says. “After you’ve exhausted your contributions, you can withdraw up to $10,000 of the account’s earnings or money converted from another account without paying a 10% penalty for a first-time home purchase.”

If you have contributed to a Roth IRA for less than five years, you’ll owe income tax on any earnings you withdraw. For Roth IRAs that are more than five years old, you won’t have to pay taxes on the earnings. Taking out funds before retirement could impact the long-term potential of the balance to grow.

Other Options for Purchasing a Home

Instead of accessing cash from your IRA, you could search for other ways to fund a home purchase. You might withdraw from a different account, such as a short-term savings account, money market account or a 401(k) plan. Some 401(k) plans may allow for a loan to help with a home purchase. "If you prefer not to use your IRA, borrowing 50% of your 401(k) balance, up to a maximum of $50,000, could be another alternative worth exploring,” Martinez says. A 401(k) loan typically doesn’t have taxes or penalties attached to it. However, you’ll be charged interest as you make loan repayments.

Looking at the balances in retirement accounts and current salary could help the decision-making process. “Although using IRA assets as a source of financing for a down payment or purchase price is a possibility, it isn’t always the ideal choice,” says Sara Sharp, founder and partner at SK&S Law Group in Denver. “Homebuyers should think about any early withdrawal penalties and any tax repercussions before taking money out of their IRA."

If you consider your long-term savings balances to be substantial, withdrawing may not have a significant impact on your overall financial picture. For account holders who feel they haven’t saved much, it could be time to consider another option like a mortgage. You might decide to apply for a regular home loan to help cover the costs of the purchase.

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Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

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April Numbers

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

The April Real Estate market in the Eugene and Springfield area remained slower than at the same time last year. The inventory of homes for sale remains very low, but it was slightly higher than April of 2022. Both Pending homes sales and closed home sales were also lower than April of last year. Suprisingly there are quite a few buyers actively looking for homes to purchase and time on the market remains extremely low. The low inventory makes finding the right home somewhat challenging for home buyers, but offers a strong market for home sellers. Mortgage interest rates are holding fairly steady and hopefully will continue at or below current rates into the near future. Here are the homes sales numbers for April 2023 in Lane County.

New Listings

New listings (383) decreased 21.8% from the 490 listed in April 2022, and decreased 4.3% from the 400 listed in March 2023.

Pending Sales

Pending sales (339) decreased 25.2% from the 453 offers accepted in April 2022, and decreased 0.9% from the 342 offers accepted in March 2023.

Closed Sales

Closed sales (284) decreased 30.9% from the 411 closings in April 2022, and decreased 2.4% from the 291 closings in March 2023.

Inventory and Time on Market

Inventory increased to 1.5 months in April. Total market time decreased to 39 days.

Year-to-Date Summary

Comparing the first four months of 2023 to the same period in 2022, new listings (1,390) decreased 22.9%, pending sales (1,219) decreased 24.4%, and closed sales (1,015) decreased 26.9%.

Average and Median Sale Prices

Comparing 2023 to 2022 through April, the average sale price has decreased 4.1% from $469,000 to $449,700. In the same comparison, the median sale price has decreased 0.5% from $427,000 to $425,000.

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Home Sales Lagged In March

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

Home sales in March of 2023 lagged behind those of  March 2022. Nationally, homes sales were off 5.2%, but in the Eugene and Springfiled market area, home sales were off 28.3%. The question at this time is whether this trend will continue or will home sales begin to rebound this Summer? Much of what takes place will depend upon several factors.  First, will be mortgage interest rates. Mortgage rates have dipped as of late and this may have created a bump in home sales for April. Those numbers will be available soon. If the Fed increases rates again this month, then mortgage rates could see a bump again and possibly halt a current trend of increased home sales. Secondly, the inventory of homes for sale needs to increase. Both nationally and locally, home inventories are low. This is keeping home prices high and making it difficult for would be home buyers to find a home. In many markets, including the Eugene and Springfield market, there are far more home buyers than home sellers. Lastly, the economy continues to sag with a very low GDP report again this month, continued inflation and job loss. If this economy continues, it will certainly continue to take its toll on home sales. We can only hope that the economic situation begins to improve soon. The following is an article from "Realtor.com" that describes the cuurent national housing market.

The numbers: Contract signings on U.S. homes fell for the first time since last November, as buyers faced a tough market in March due to an undersupply of houses.

U.S. pending-home sales fell 5.2% in March, according to the monthly index released Thursday by the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

Sales dropped for the first time since November 2022. At the time, buyers had sharply pulled back as mortgage rates exceeded 7%.

The numbers: Contract signings on U.S. homes fell for the first time since last November, as buyers faced a tough market in March due to an undersupply of houses.

U.S. pending-home sales fell 5.2% in March, according to the monthly index released Thursday by the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

Sales dropped for the first time since November 2022. At the time, buyers had sharply pulled back as mortgage rates exceeded 7%.

On a monthly basis, only the U.S. South saw an uptick in pending home sales of 0.2%.

The NAR said a third of all home listings were seeing multiple bids, and 28% were selling above list price. Realtors also expect the 30-year mortgage rate to drop to 6% this year, and 5.6% in 2024.

Big picture: Buyers, who are already sensitive to mortgage rates, are hurt even more by the underlying structural problem of low inventory. Some have turned to new homes, boosting sales for builders. But expensive homes and high mortgage rates will push home prices down for the year, Vanguard believes, by as much as 5% year-over-year.

What the realtors said: “The lack of housing inventory is a major constraint to rising sales,” NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said. “Limited housing supply is simply not meeting demand nationally.”

Yun expects existing-home sales to drop on a year-over-year basis in 2023 by 9.3% to 4.56 million.

Then, he added, sales will rise recover, rising by 15.4% to 5.26 million.

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Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

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Haas Real Estate Team
Keller Williams Realty Eugene and Springfield
2645 Suzanne Way Suite 2A
Eugene OR 97408
Direct: (541) 349-2620
Fax: 541-687-6411

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