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Home Inventory Is Still An Issue In Today's Market

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

There have not been any huge market changes in the Eugene and Springfield housing market over the past several months, but the overall market is in decline here as it is nationally.  Nationwide home inventories are an issue and are currently at slightly over two months of inventory.  In the Eugene and Springfield area those inventories of homes for sale are slightly over 2 weeks of inventory.  This situation may not change any time soon and homebuyers will continue to struggle with finding a home because of it. If there is a bright spot in all of this, homeownership remains the safest place for your money during high inflation and poor economic times. If you are wanting to purchase a home, be patient.  We are finding great homes for all of our buyers in this market.  If you are wanting to purchase a home, don't procrastonate and don't be shy about this market.  Waiting could cost you thousands of dollars. Here is an article with a national Real Estate market report from "Realtor.com".

The numbers: Existing-home sales fell 2.4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.61 million in April, the National Association of Realtors said Thursday. Compared with April 2021, home sales were down 5.9%.

Economists polled by the Wall Street Journal had expected an decrease to 5.64 million units.

This is the third straight monthly decline and comes as mortgage rates have spiked and prices have risen.

Key details: Scarcity of homes for sale continued to be a major factor. The total inventory of homes for sale was 1.03 million units, down 10.4% from one year ago.

Expressed in terms of the months-supply, there was a 2.2-month supply of homes for sale in April. Before the pandemic, a 4-month supply was more the norm.

The median price for an existing home was an all-time high of $391,200, up 14.8% from April 2021.

Homes remained on the market for 17 days on average.

Regionally, sales rose in the Northeast and Midwest and sank in the South and the West.

All-cash transactions made up 26% of all transactions. About 28% of homes were sold to first-time home buyers.

What NAR is saying? “I expect further declines in home sales,” said Lawrence Yun, the National Association of Realtors’ chief economist, in a discussion with reporters. Mortgage rates are rising and supply remains low., he noted. There is less incentive for homeowners to list their properties because they would lose their super-low mortgage rates. 

Market reaction: Stocks opened lower on Thursday on continued growth concerns. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 2.8% on flight-to-safety trading.

The numbers: Existing-home sales fell 2.4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.61 million in April, the National Association of Realtors said Thursday. Compared with April 2021, home sales were down 5.9%.

Economists polled by the Wall Street Journal had expected an decrease to 5.64 million units.

This is the third straight monthly decline and comes as mortgage rates have spiked and prices have risen.

Market reaction: Stocks opened lower on Thursday on continued growth concerns. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 2.8% on flight-to-safety trading.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

3847 Boresek Ln, Eugene, OR 

Price: $629,900    Beds: 4    Baths: 3.0    Sq Ft: 2504

This light filled home is on a private drive with a 1/3 acre yard backing to Spring Creek. Spacious floor plan is perfect for extended living w/ a main level bedroom & bathroom. Great room concept w/ eating bar, granite kitchen counters & slider to...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

The Market You See Today Will Not Be With Us Much Longer

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

There has not been any significant change in the Eugene/Springfield area Real Estate market over the last month. The number of homes for sale hitting the market declined at the same time that then number of homes sold increased.  This indicates that we remain in a very strong sellers market at this time.  Long term, the rising mortgage interest rates and continued increases in home values are sure to slow this market.  As I have been saying for the past several months, if you are considering the sale of your home this year, DON'T WAIT!  The market you see today will not be with us much longer. Here are the current home sales statistics for Lane County in the month of April 2022.

New listings (490) decreased 6.3% from the 523 listed in April 2021, and decreased 7.5% from the 530 listed in March 2022.

Pending sales (453) decreased 0.9% from the 457 offers accepted in April 2021, and decreased 3.8% from the 471 offers accepted in March 2022.

Closed sales (411) increased 11.1% from the 370 closings in April 2021, and increased 1.2% from the 406 closings in March 2022.

Inventory and Market Time

Inventory held steady at 0.7 months in April. Total market time decreased to 25 days.

Year-To-Date Summary

Comparing the first four months of 2022 to the same period in 2021, new listings (1,804) increased 5.2%, pending sales (1,612) increased 3.3%, and closed sales (1,389) increased 2.9%.

Average and Median Sale Prices

Comparing 2022 to 2021 through April, the average sale price has increased 17.6% from $398,800 to $469,000. In the same comparison, the median sale price has increased 15.7% from $369,000 to $427,000.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

531 T Street, Springfield, OR 

Price: $369,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 1.5    Sq Ft: 1090

This cute ranch style home has been nicely updated & is located in a convenient neighborhood close to the bus lines & shopping. Small RV parking, large 2-car garage, primary bedroom w/ large attached 1/2 bathroom, forced air heating, laminate floor...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Good Monday Morning!

WHAT WOULD 5% PLUS MORTGAGE INTEREST RATES DO TO THE 2022 HOUSING MARKET?

Back when mortgage rates were 12%, people still bought and sold houses, which cost 70% less. If rates were 12% today, no one could buy a house! Certainly, a 5% interest rate will put downward pressure on prices over time, but what will it do to the market in the near term?

The Good — Higher rates likely mean leveling prices in 2022. More owners and investors might sell now that prices are peaking, creating more housing inventory. Buyers who can still afford to be in the market can make offers on houses without quite so many competing offers, and they'll have more choices. Sellers are not likely to lose much (if any) value, though they won’t continue to see sharp rises.

The Bad — Higher rates mean the pool of buyers will shift around. Some sellers could get fewer and lower offers. Buyers will ask sellers to make more repairs. Some sellers will lose gains they made in the past year. Sellers who want to cash out at the peak may be running out of time.

The Ugly — Higher rates mean many buyers will scale back on the home price they could afford when rates were lower. They may need to drop into a lower price point, which could alter their location or home style plans, or they'll need to come up with a higher down payment.

The Next Wave? Real estate markets are like an uneven, undulating wave, going up and down like a mad roller coaster. The last up-swell has been meteoric. But that doesn’t mean the next down-turn will be just as steep. It is more likely to be a slow glide that levels off somewhere between 2016 and 2022 prices in the next 5 to 10 years (barring unforeseen circumstances). All we can ever do is make the best decision in the moment.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

531 T Street, Springfield, OR 

Price: $375,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 1.5    Sq Ft: 1090

This cute ranch style home has been nicely updated & is located in a convenient neighborhood close to the bus lines & shopping. Small RV parking, large 2-car garage, primary bedroom w/ large attached 1/2 bathroom, forced air heating, laminate floor...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Things Are About To Change In The Housing Market

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

If you have been looking for a home to purchase and have become frustrated with our competitive housing market, things are about to change for you.  Yes, home prices remain high and mortgage interest rates have jumped. All of this has made buying a home difficult.  One of the largest issues has been competition and the competition level is going to change.  Soon, there will be fewer people in the housing market, which will end the bidding wars and multiple offers.  True, the home you are buying will have a higher interest rate, but for many who paid well above purchase price, the true cost of the home may be less.  The market is changing quickly, so if you have been frustrated in the past, jump back into the market.  You may be very glad that you did.  The following is an article from "Realtor.com" that talks about our current national market.

The interest rate on the country’s benchmark mortgage product edged downward for the first time since early March, but that doesn’t mean the housing market will see a reprieve.

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.1% for the week ending April 28, according to data released by Freddie Mac on Thursday. That’s down one basis point from the previous week—one basis point is equal to one hundredth of a percentage point, or 1% of 1%.

Last week was the first time that mortgage rates had surpassed 5% since 2011. A year, the average rate on the 30-year home loan was below 3%.

The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage, meanwhile, rose two basis points to an average of 4.4% over the past week. The 5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage averaged 3.78%, rising three basis points from the previous week.

The moderation in mortgage rates is a reflection of movements in the market for long-term bonds. Notably, the yield on the 10-year Treasury rose above 2.9% earlier in the week before settling lower, which indicated how concerns about the COVID situation in China were weighing on investors.

“Markets are increasingly weighing that with Beijing potentially following in Shanghai’s mass quarantine footsteps, the outlook for economic growth is darkening, which may affect the U.S. economy,” said George Ratiu, manager of economic research at Realtor.com.

Despite this brief setback, mortgage rates have risen at the fastest pace in over 40 years, Freddie Mac chief economist Sam Khater said in the report. And that trend is likely to continue, given that inflation remains hot.

That will prompt the Federal Reserve to hike rates and adjust its holdings of mortgage-backed securities in the coming months, which will put pressure on mortgage rates. It’s tough to understate how disruptive the historic rise in mortgage rates over the past few months has been.

“Buyers were already constrained by low inventories, which have been driving prices higher,” Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics, wrote in a research note. “Sustained increases in mortgage rates will be an additional headwind for home sales going forward.”

The most recent data for both pending home sales and mortgage applications released Wednesday painted a picture of weakening demand from home buyers. The combination of high prices and high interest rates has made purchasing a home significantly less affordable, and it’s likely that some families have been pushed out of the home-buying market—at least for the time being.

“Buyers of a median-price home are looking at a monthly mortgage payment that is almost 50% higher than it was a year ago, adding an extra $580 to their monthly expenses,” Ratiu said. “It is not surprising that many are stepping back from the market, hoping that conditions will improve.”

For those Americans who persist, they will be reward by a less competitive market, which could give them more homes to choose from and a lower likelihood of facing a bidding war.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

531 T Street, Springfield, OR 

Price: $375,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 1.5    Sq Ft: 1090

This cute ranch style home has been nicely updated & is located in a convenient neighborhood close to the bus lines & shopping. Small RV parking, large 2-car garage, primary bedroom w/ large attached 1/2 bathroom, forced air heating, laminate floor...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Displaying blog entries 1-4 of 4

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Haas Real Estate Team
Keller Williams Realty Eugene and Springfield
2645 Suzanne Way Suite 2A
Eugene OR 97408
Direct: (541) 349-2620
Fax: 541-687-6411

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