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Interest Rates Fall Again, Demand Is Up

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

As mortgage interest rates fall again, the housing market in the Eugene and Springfield area is heating up even more.  The shortage of homes on the market for sale is not discouraging home buyers as they are making offers on homes for sale causing bidding wars in most cases.  The inventory is the lowest in the first time buyer prices ranges of $250,000 to $400,000. This of course is the price range where competiition is the greatest.  I would not look for any change in the market conditions here in the near future.  The following is an article from"Realtor.com" that talks about the recent market and mortgage interest rates.

The spring housing market is heating up faster than the temperature.

Already-high home prices continued to climb to yet new heights as mortgage interest rates dipped below 3%. Median home sale prices soared 17.2% year over year in March, to hit a record high of $329,100, according to the National Association of Realtors®. This was for existing homes and did not include new construction. Sale prices of single-family homes were even higher, jumping 18.4% annually in March, to reach $334,500.

This comes as buyers have flooded the market and found a severe shortage of properties for sale. Sellers have been hesitant to list during the pandemic, and builders haven’t been able to keep up with demand. The imbalance has led to offers well over asking price, frenzied bidding wars, and the waiving of all sorts of contingencies.

Median list prices, which is what the sellers are asking for homes, not what they sell for, also shot up 17.2% on Realtor.com in the week ending April 17.

One the big reasons for the meteoric rise in prices has been low mortgage rates. The lower the rates, the lower the buyer’s monthly mortgage payment. This has enabled many buyers to afford more expensive homes without having to shell out more for them every month.

“Today’s mortgage rates give home buyers a much needed boost in purchasing power that will help them navigate higher home prices, which nearly every housing market across the country is seeing right now,” says Realtor.com® Chief Economist Danielle Hale.

Rates fell well below 3% for the first time during the coronavirus pandemic. They rose above the 3% threshold only in March, but they’ve since come back down a little. They dipped to an average 2.97% for a 30-year fixed-rate loan in the week ending April 22, according to Freddie Mac.

“Going forward, there will be no shortage of buyer interest in housing, and we’ll still see climbing mortgage rates,” says Hale

“But I expect the increases to be more gradual, which will make it easier for buyers to adjust to higher monthly payments. The top challenge for buyers will still be finding a home, but even that should get a bit easier as we see a seasonal ramp-up in sellers.”

The lower rates have also been a boon for homeowners who refinance their mortgages to capitalize on the lower rates. 

“Low and declining mortgage rates provide [lower-income] homeowners the opportunity to reduce their monthly payment and improve their financial position,” Freddie Mac Chief Economist Sam Khater said in a statement.

However, the high prices, coupled with a dearth of homes on the market, coupled with the high price tags, is hurting the number of sales. Closed transactions dropped 3.7% in March compared with February on existing homes, according to NAR. However, sales were 12.3% higher than a year ago, at the start of the pandemic when many buyers were not allowed to visit properties in certain parts of the country.

The number of homes for sale was just 1.07 million units in March—a 28.2% plunge from the previous year. And they sold quickly, at a median 18 days. Roughly 83% of homes were sold in less than a month.

“The sales for March would have been measurably higher, had there been more inventory,” NAR’s Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said in a statement. “Without an increase in supply, the society wealth division will widen with homeowners enjoying sizable equity gains while renters will struggle to become homeowners.”

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

2924 Norkenzie Rd, Eugene, OR 

Price: $485,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 2.0    Sq Ft: 1693

Don't miss this tastefully updated one level home nestled in a quiet North Gilham neighborhood. Stunning kitchen w/ granite countertops, soft-close cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar & large windows looking to the private backyard...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Good Monday Morning!

The first quarter of 2021 is behind us now.  What we saw during the first quarter in regards to home sales in the Eugene and Springfield area is a continuation of the same housing market that we had last year.  Our inventory of homes for sale is at an all time low, .06 months.  We have extremely high homebuyer demand and very low mortgage interest rates.  This is continuing to fuel home value inflation, bidding wars on homes for sale and an extremely attractive sellers market.  Here are the home sales numbers for Lane County in March of 2021.

March Residential Highlights

New listings (457) decreased 18.0% from the 557 listed in March 2020, and increased 29.8% from the 352 listed in February 2021.

Pending sales (434) increased 16.0% from the 374 offers accepted in March 2020, and increased 21.9% from the 356 offers accepted in February 2021.

Closed sales (389) increased 14.1% from the 341 closings in March 2020, and increased 44.1% from the 270 closings in February 2021.

Inventory and Market Time

Inventory decreased to 0.6 months in March. Total market time decreased to 31 days.

Year-To-Date Summary

Comparing the first three months of 2021 to the same period in 2020, new listings (1,171) decreased 15.2%, pending sales (1,109) increased 4.5%, and closed sales (965) increased 8.8%.

Average and Median Sale Prices

Comparing 2021 to 2020 through March, the average sale price has increased 17.8% from $335,700 to $395,600. In the same comparison, the median sale price has increased 15.9% from $315,000 to $365,000.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

2924 Norkenzie Rd, Eugene, OR 

Price: $485,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 2.0    Sq Ft: 1693

Don't miss this tastefully updated one level home nestled in a quiet North Gilham neighborhood. Stunning kitchen w/ granite countertops, soft-close cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar & large windows looking to the private backyard...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Investing In Real Estate?

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

I am often asked about owning Real Estate as an investment.  Is it better to purchase than to rent?  Is Real Estate a better investment over time than stocks?

The answer I always give is that Real Estate markets, like the stock market have ups and downs.  Depending upon when you buy or sell the amount of gain on or loss on your investment can vary.  If you look over the long term, the last 25 years, it is clear that owning Real Estate is a solid investment.  In fact, Real Estate has never gone backwards over the long haul.  So, my answer is always a big "YES"!  Owning Real Estate is a solid investment.  The following is an article from "Realtor.com" that speaks to Real Estate as an investment.

Which is the better investment, owning a home or owning stocks? If you ask most Americans, chances are they prefer the former.

A new study from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York examined consumer preferences toward being a homeowner and how their attitudes have changed over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic. Survey participants were asked to rate which was the better investment — a home or financial assets such as a stocks — and what factors contributed to their choice.

The study found that over 90% of respondents preferred owning their primary residence rather than investing in the stock market. A majority of survey-takers also favored the idea of being a landlord to purchasing stocks, with more than 50% of the participating households preferring to own a rental property.

The most common reasons people cited in choosing housing over stocks seemed to be about comfort and stability, rather than seeking a better return. The most commonly-selected responses were that the home was their “desired living environment” and “provides stability” and that house prices were “less volatile.”

Research has shown that residential real-estate has acted as a strong hedge in most bear markets, with the notable exception of the Great Recession. The early days of the pandemic is a prime example: The S&P 500 index lost over 20% in the first quarter, while the Case-Shiller National Home Price Index increased 1.4%. That stock market has, of course, recovered since then.

That said, Americans were more likely to cite higher housing returns in 2021 than in the year prior, likely a reflection of the incredibly fast pace of home price appreciation nationwide.

But people’s attitudes toward the housing market have shifted over the course of the pandemic, the researchers found. “The preference for housing dipped in October 2020 and returned back to the pre-COVID level by February 2021,” the study’s authors noted.

That shift in preferences away from housing wasn’t driven by concerns about home prices. Some Americans expressed more concern about the risk of vacant rental units, while concerns about being able to make mortgage payments may have had an effect on people’s predilection toward homeownership.

People’s inclination toward owning a home may also be a reflection of their gender or education. Women were more likely to prefer housing than men, and non-college graduates opted for homeownership more often than those with college diplomas.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

2918 San Pedro Ave NW, Albany, OR 

Price: $429,900    Beds: 5    Baths: 3.0    Sq Ft: 2570

Fantastic Views of Nearby Hills. This beautiful home offers spacious rooms with an open floorplan and tall ceilings. It has a large master bedroom with 2 walk in closets, and a soaking tub. You can sit in the backyard and enjoy the fantastic vi...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Home Prices Continue To Rise At A Historic Pace

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

Home prices in the Eugene and Springfield area continue to rise at a historic pace. Double digit home value increases have been the norm over the past several years, driving the average area home price above $390,000.  Extremely low mortgage interest rates have been the force behind the home price explosion along with an etremely low inventory of homes on the market for sale.  The increased home values in our area have driven many buyers completely out of the market and made home purchases difficut for others.  Will this trend continue? Here is an article from "Realtor.com" that describes home prices nationally.

The numbers: Home prices continue to increase at an incredibly fast pace across the country, according to two separate indices released Tuesday, adding to the financial pressures home buyers face amid rising mortgage rates.

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-city price index posted an 11.1% year-over-year gain in January, up from 10.2% the previous month. The separate and broader S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller national price index, which covers the entire country, demonstrated an 11.2% gain year-over-year in January, representing the highest gain in nearly 15 years.

On a monthly basis, the 20-city index increased 0.9% between December and January.

What happened: Prices rose on a monthly basis in 19 of the 20 large cities tracked by Case-Shiller, with Cleveland being the only city to see prices drop. Compared to January 2020, prices were up in all 20 cities the report tracks.

Notably, the index included data for Detroit for the first time in almost a year. Typically included as part of the 20-city index, Detroit was excluded throughout most of the pandemic until now because of issues collecting data during coronavirus-related shutdowns.

Phoenix saw the highest rate of price appreciation with a 15.8% gain year-over-year, according to the Case-Shiller indices, followed by Seattle and San Diego.

“January’s data remain consistent with the view that COVID has encouraged potential buyers to move from urban apartments to suburban homes,” said Craig Lazzara, managing director and global head of index investment strategy at S&P DJI, in the report. This demand may represent buyers who accelerated purchases that would have happened anyway over the next several years.

Separately, the Federal Housing Finance Agency released its own home-price index Tuesday, which showed a 12% increase in home prices nationwide compared to a year ago and a 1% uptick month-over-month.

While still a break-neck pace of price appreciation, FHFA deputy director of the division of research and statistics Lynn Fisher noted the monthly increase was the smallest since June. “While house prices experienced historic growth rates in 2020 and into the New Year, the monthly gains appear to be moderating,” Fisher said in the report.

Prices rose the most in the Mountain region, according to the FHFA, in line with the regional data reported in the Case-Shiller indices.

The big picture: The pandemic prompted a rush into the housing market. Cramped households eagerly sought out larger homes with more outdoor space further out in the suburbs and rural areas, while the rise of remote work also led to a need for more room. Plus, millennials are reaching their prime home-buying years.

These buyers have encountered little supply of homes for sale, creating an incredibly competitive and stressful market. Until now, that’s caused home prices to rise quickly, but that could soon change.

“We expect time on market and price gains to moderate as we approach spring and more sellers put homes up for sale, but potential buyers will face new challenges later in the year,” said Danielle Hale, chief economist at Realtor.com.

Chief among those challenges is the recent increase in mortgage rates. So this year, mortgage rates have risen over half a percentage point, and mortgage rates jumped above the 3% for the first time since last summer earlier this month. Higher interest rates mean higher housings costs for home buyers, naturally.

As a result, some home buyers will be forced either to lower their budget for the property they wish to purchase or exit the market entirely if owning a home simply isn’t within their means anymore. That could put some pressure on home prices, causing the rate of home price appreciation to slow later this year.

What they’re saying: “The housing market momentum that had picked up pace at the end of 2020 spilled over into the early months of 2021, upending the traditionally slow home-buying season,” CoreLogic deputy chief economist Selma Hepp said ahead of the Case-Shiller report’s release.

“Housing has remained robust during the pandemic amid low interest rates and dwindling supply,” Priscilla Thiagamoorthy, an economist with BMO Capital Markets, wrote in a research note.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

2918 San Pedro Ave NW, Albany, OR 

Price: $429,900    Beds: 5    Baths: 3.0    Sq Ft: 2570

Fantastic Views of Nearby Hills. This beautiful home offers spacious rooms with an open floorplan and tall ceilings. It has a large master bedroom with 2 walk in closets, and a soaking tub. You can sit in the backyard and enjoy the fantastic vi...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Displaying blog entries 1-4 of 4

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Haas Real Estate Team
Keller Williams Realty Eugene and Springfield
2645 Suzanne Way Suite 2A
Eugene OR 97408
Direct: (541) 349-2620
Fax: 541-687-6411

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