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Market Remains Strong Throughout COVID-19 Pandemic

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

With the world still in a crisis over Covid19 and many speculations as to when this all will end, the Real Estate world is still alive and moving in the Eugene and Springfield area.  The suprising fact is that there are people putting their homes on the market and they are selling.  In fact in many cases, homes are lasting no more than just a few days before they sell.  One thing that never changes is the fact that there are people who need to purchase a home and those who need to sell a home.  If you find yourself in a position where you either need or want to buy or sell a home, don't be afraid to act now.  We are finding that even though the market is different right now, it remains strong. Unfortunately, this is not the common feeling right now by most people as described in this article from "Realtor.com".  The reality is that the inventory of homes for sale is very low and there are many buyers out there ready to buy when they find the home they are looking for.

Americans have quickly soured on the prospects of the nation’s real-estate market as the coronavirus pandemic has swept the country.

Only 50% of Americans said that now is a good time to buy a home, according to a survey of roughly 1,000 people released Friday by polling firm Gallup. That represents the lowest share of Americans to have a positive view on the country’s housing market in the time that Gallup has tracked people’s sentiments on real estate.

A year ago, 61% of Americans thought it was a good time to buy, while 36% said they believed it wasn’t. The previous low was set back in 2006 when only 52% of Americans thought it was a good time to buy amid the subprime mortgage-fueled housing bubble. Gallup began tracking American’s feelings on the housing market periodically back in the 1970s and has polled on this question annually since 2003.

Sellers, meanwhile, have refrained from listing their homes or pulled them from the market to avoid the possibility of needing to sell at a lower price.

Notably, the shift in sentiment was more prominent among homeowners (down 16 percentage points) than renters (down four percentage points). Renters were more pessimistic about the housing market during the Great Recession than they are now, while this year’s poll represents an all-time low among homeowners.

Republicans, people who live in the suburbs of large cities, and those whose annual income exceeds $100,000 were most upbeat, per Gallup’s survey.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Safe, Stay Healthy!!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

93048 Templeton Rd, Cheshire, OR 

Price: $750,000    Beds: 4    Baths: 3    Sq Ft: 3035

Quiet And Private House on 20.59 secluded acres with gorgeous valley and mountain views. 15+ acres second growth Fir with significant market value and 2+ acres of pasture. Gorgeous custom interior with hardwood floors, vault ceilings, views. 4 bay s...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

March 2020 Data

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

The data is in for March 2020 home sales in Lane County.  Bear in mind that this period of time for sales in pre Covid19, for the most part.  There is a great deal that has changed in our market since this time and there are many more changes in front of us.  The one thing that I can tell you is that there are lots of potential home buyers out there ready to go.  In fact, sales activity has been robust even during this tragic time.  The largest problem is lack of homes for buyers to purchase.  If you are thinking about selling your home this year, don't wait!  Right now is a great opportunity for you to sell while the competition levels are low.  Here are the home sales numbers for March 2020.

March Residential Highlights

There were 557 new listings, 25.5% more than in March 2019 (444) and 47.7% more than last month in February 2020 (377).

Pending sales (374) decreased 17.4% from March 2019 (453) and rose 2.2% from last month February 2020 when 366 offers were accepted.

Closed sales (341) increased 8.6% from March 2019 (314) and rose 20.1% from the 284 closings recorded last month in February 2020.

Inventory and Market Time

Inventory increased slightly to 1.7 months in March. Total market time decreased to 42 days.

Year to Date Summary

Comparing the first three months of 2020 to the same period in 2019, new listings (1,381) increased 19.9%, pending sales (1,061) decreased 1.3%, and closed sales (887) decreased 1.1%.

Average and Median Sale Prices

Comparing 2020 to 2019 through March, the average sale price has increased 9.6% from $306,200 to $335,700. In the same comparison, the median sale price has increased 12.5% from $280,000 to $315,000

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Safe, Stay Healthy!!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

250 Yellowwood St, Juction City, OR 

Price: $365,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 2    Sq Ft: 1728

Don't miss this wonderful one-level home located in a desirable Junction City neighborhood! Great room concept w/ vaulted ceilings, natural lighting throughout & a well thought out floor plan. Spacious kitchen has Brazilian Cherry flooring, granite...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Is Forbearance A Good Option For You During This Tough Time?

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

Our country has never been through a period like that of the current COVID19 situation and hopefully, we will never have to endure anything like this again.  With all of the stress, both emotional and financial, there are many options popping up that look like they might help out during this time of hardship.  One of these programs is being presented by many mortgage lenders right now and it is called "Mortgage Forbearance".  The following is the definition of "Mortgage Forbearance:

Forbearance is when your mortgage servicer or lender allows you to temporarily pay your mortgage at a lower payment or pause paying your mortgage. You will have to pay the payment reduction or the paused payments back later.

I have been receiving both emails and calls from clients asking me for some guidance in regards to "Mortgage Forbearance".  Since this is unchartered waters for most, it is really a great idea to check it out before jumping on board. The contracts that I have read from several different lenders, clearly spells out the fact that if you do this program and don't make payments for several months, this money is not forgiven from your mortgage debt.  The ones I read clearly state that the period of "Forbearance" is for 90 days and at the end of that 90 day period, your accrued debt from the "Forbearance" period is due and needs to be PAID!!  Read the small print in the "Forbearance" contract, because if this is the case, then you need to decide if you are going to have that money available when the time comes for repayment?  I have also learned that if you take advantage of "Forbearance", that during this time you may not be able to get other loans, refinance, or take advantage of other financial programs.  I have yet to determine whether "Forbearance" will effect your credit or not, but I would certainly suggest checking this out as well before jumping into a program with your lender.

Have An Awesome Week!  Stay Healthy!  Remain Positive!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

3220 Crescent Ave #60, Eugene, OR 

Price: $199,500    Beds: 2    Baths: 2    Sq Ft: 2248

55+ park with gated entry in beautiful Summer Oaks.Spacious beautiful home with nice view of fields and mountains. Brand new carpet and paint throughout with lots of natural lighting and high ceilings. Beautiful fenced backyard with great outdoor li...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Unemployment And Its Affect In Real Estate

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

Ten million Americans lost their jobs over the last two weeks. The next announced unemployment rate on May 8th is expected to be in the double digits. Because the health crisis brought the economy to a screeching halt, many are feeling a personal financial crisis. James Bullard, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, explained that the government is trying to find ways to assist those who have lost their jobs and the companies which were forced to close (think: your neighborhood restaurant). In a recent interview he said: 

“This is a planned, organized partial shutdown of the U.S. economy in the second quarter. The overall goal is to keep everyone, households and businesses, whole.” 

That’s promising, but we’re still uncertain as to when the recently unemployed will be able to return to work.

Another concern: how badly will the U.S. economy be damaged if people can’t buy homes?

A new concern is whether the high number of unemployed Americans will cause the residential real estate market to crash, putting a greater strain on the economy and leading to even more job losses. The housing industry is a major piece of the overall economy in this country.

Chris Herbert, Managing Director of the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University, in a post titled Responding to the Covid-19 Pandemic, addressed the toll this crisis will have on our nation, explaining:

“Housing is a foundational element of every person’s well-being. And with nearly a fifth of US gross domestic product rooted in housing-related expenditures, it is also critical to the well-being of our broader economy.”

How has the unemployment rate affected home sales in the past? 

It’s logical to think there would be a direct correlation between the unemployment rate and home sales: as the unemployment rate went up, home sales would go down, and when the unemployment rate went down, home sales would go up.

However, research reviewing the last thirty years doesn’t show that direct relationship, as noted in the graph below. The blue and grey bars represent home sales, while the yellow line is the unemployment rate. Take a look at numbers 1 through 4:           The unemployment rate was rising between 1992-1993, yet home sales increased.

  1. The unemployment rate was rising between 2001-2003, and home sales increased.
  2. The unemployment rate was rising between 2007-2010, and home sales significantly decreased.
  3. The unemployment rate was falling continuously between 2015-2019, and home sales remained relatively flat.

The impact of the unemployment rate on home sales doesn’t seem to be as strong as we may have thought.

Isn’t this time different?

Yes. There is no doubt the country hasn’t seen job losses this quickly in almost one hundred years. How bad could it get? Goldman Sachs projects the unemployment rate to be 15% in the third quarter of 2020, flattening to single digits by the fourth quarter of this year, and then just over 6% percent by the fourth quarter of 2021. Not ideal for the housing industry, but manageable.

How does this compare to the other financial crises?

Some believe this is going to be reminiscent of The Great Depression. From the standpoint of unemployment rates alone (the only thing this article addresses), it does not compare. Here are the unemployment rates during the Great Depression, the Great Recession, and the projected rates moving forward:

Bottom Line

We’ve given you the facts as we know them. The housing market will have challenges this year. However, with the help being given to those who have lost their jobs and the fact that we’re looking at a quick recovery for the economy after we address the health problem, the housing industry should be fine in the long term. Stay safe.

Stay Healthy!

Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

3220 Crescent Ave #60, Eugene, OR 

Price: $199,500    Beds: 2    Baths: 2    Sq Ft: 2248

Sought after Summer Oaks 55 and over community on wonderful large view lot. Refrigerator, washer/dryer included. $817/mo space rent. Disposal, dishwasher, built in oven, stove top, gas heat, cool, hot water, Composition roof. Heat pump. Security sys...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

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Haas Real Estate Team
Keller Williams Realty Eugene and Springfield
2645 Suzanne Way Suite 2A
Eugene OR 97408
Direct: (541) 349-2620
Fax: 541-687-6411

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