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NAR Settlement Update

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

The national Real Estate world was full of facts and non-facts in regards to the recent NAR settlement over brokerage fees. I am doing this article this morning because many clients have had questions over what is going on, and home buyers have been in fear that they will now have to pay fees that they did not have to pay previously in a Real Estate transaction. The truth is that, yes, there will be some changes coming soon, but the overall picture of how we buy and sell Real Estate will change very little for most home sellers and home buyers. This is an ever-changing situation, so there could be some further developments ahead, but as of right now, it is pretty much business as usual. Here is a recent article from "Realtor.com" that briefly goes over the recent decisions.

Misinformation has been pervasive in the media over real estate commissions. Here are the facts you should know.

The national conversation around real estate commissions reached a crescendo in the last week since the National Association of REALTORS® announced a settlement agreement that would resolve litigation brought on behalf of home sellers related to broker commissions. Brokers and agents have their own questions about what comes next for their businesses, while at the same time trying to answer consumer inquiries. And many headlines aren’t separating fact from fiction, feeding misinformation to you and your clients.

Let’s clear the air: There’s no doubt the litigation—including copycat lawsuits that were filed after the Sitzer-Burnett verdict—caused considerable uncertainty in an industry already dealing with the effects of low inventory and interest rate increases. The settlement, which must be approved by a judge, provides a path forward for real estate professionals, REALTOR® associations, brokerages, MLSs and other industry stakeholders. Most importantly, it gives NAR members the chance to refocus on their core mission to support buyers and sellers.

Facts First

There’s much the media has gotten wrong about NAR’s settlement, which would require the association to pay $418 million over four years. Some outlets have suggested that NAR previously set or guided commissions to a standard rate of 6%. Even President Joe Biden, in recent comments, misspoke in suggesting that the settlement makes commissions negotiable for the first time.

You know that is false. NAR does not set commissions, and commissions were negotiable long before this settlement. They are and will remain entirely negotiable between brokers and their clients. And housing prices are dictated by market forces beyond members’ control.

Getting the facts right is important, especially because the settlement agreement is complex. NAR is continuing to engage with media to correct inaccurate reporting about the settlement. Members are also encouraged to refer to official NAR sources, like facts.realtor, for the most accurate and up-to-date information about the settlement and what it means for consumers.

The settlement achieves two important goals: protecting members to the greatest extent possible and preserving consumer choice. The proposed settlement:

  1. Resolves claims against NAR and nearly every member; all state, territorial and local REALTOR® associations; all association-owned MLSs; and all brokerages with an NAR member as principal whose residential transaction volume in 2022 was $2 billion or below.
  2. Preserves cooperative compensation as an option for consumers looking to buy or sell a home—as long as such offers of compensation occur off of the MLS.

NAR fought for a release that covered all industry players, but large settlements reached by other corporate defendants shaped the negotiations. Throughout the settlement process, NAR also engaged with a diverse range of members to consider their perspectives and interests.

“Ultimately, continuing to litigate would have hurt members and their small businesses,” NAR Interim CEO Nykia Wright said in a statement. “While there could be no perfect outcome, this agreement is the best outcome we could achieve in the circumstances. It provides a path forward for our industry, which makes up nearly one-fifth of the American economy, and NAR. For over a century, NAR has protected and advanced the right to real property ownership in this country, and we remain focused on delivering on that core mission.”

The settlement agreement also mandates two key changes to the way members and MLS participants do business.

  1. NAR agreed to create a new MLS rule prohibiting offers of compensation on the MLS. This would mean that offers of compensation could not be communicated via an MLS, but they could continue to be an option consumers could pursue off-MLS through negotiation and consultation with real estate professionals.
  2. NAR also agreed to create a new rule requiring MLS participants working with buyers to enter into written representation agreements with their buyers before the buyer tours a home. NAR has long encouraged its members to use written agreements to help consumers understand exactly what services and value they provide, and for how much.

NAR continues to deny any wrongdoing and maintains that cooperative compensation is in the best interest of consumers. NAR members can use these changes as an opportunity to explain their clients’ options. Both changes would go into effect in mid-July under the terms of the proposed settlement.

NAR considered a range of legal options throughout the litigation process, including reaching a settlement or continuing to appeal the Sitzer-Burnett verdict and litigate the related copycat cases. The latter could have forced the association to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, leaving members, associations, MLSs and brokerages exposed.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

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Mortgage Interest Rates Remain Around 7%

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

At the beginning of this year, national financial experts were mostly in agreement that the Fed would go through a series of interest rates drops in 2024. They thought that with inflation numbers predicted to decline, the Fed would need to do this to get the economy back on track. So far, the Fed has failed to drop rates and has even made it look as if a rate decline program is not in the picture any time soon. Recent unfavorable inflation rates could be putting a stranglehold on Fed rates declining any time soon. With that reality, mortgage interest rates remain around the 7% mark. This is a lower level than a year ago, but this rate remains higher than what many home buyers feel they want to deal with. Many would-be buyers are sitting and waiting for mortgage interest rates to drop, but is that the best route? The following article from "US News" talks about the best direction for home buyers to take.

It's been two years since the Federal Reserve first began its tightening cycle with a series of rate hikes, effectively ending the pandemic-era housing boom. Since then, mortgage rates rose past 5%, 6% and 7% as home prices stayed stubbornly high – a combination that brought housing affordability to its lowest levels in decades. 

The spring 2024 home-shopping season is upon us, and it brings with it a sense of deja vu: Just like in 2023, two-thirds of respondents who plan on buying a home in 2024 are waiting for rates to fall first, according to the second annual Homebuyer Sentiment Survey from U.S. News.

Between Feb. 28 and March 4, U.S. News ran a nationwide survey of 1,200 Americans who are planning to buy a home in 2024 using a mortgage. We asked respondents a series of questions to find out how the mortgage rate environment has impacted their homebuying plans. Here's what we found:

  • Two-thirds of homebuyers (67%) are waiting for mortgage rates to drop before buying a home this year. Last year, an equal share of buyers said the same thing – but rates didn't budge. In fact, 67% of this year's buyers put off purchasing a home in 2023 because they were waiting for rates to fall. 
  • Among those who are holding out for lower rates, a quarter (26%) want to see them below 5% before buying, which isn't expected to happen in 2024 or even 2025. About half (49%) are willing to wait for more than six months for rates to come down. 
  • Three-quarters of current buyers (76%) plan on refinancing to a lower mortgage rate in the future. Additionally, more than a third (36%) are considering borrowing an adjustable-rate mortgage in order to get a lower rate. Both of these strategies come with risks: Those who "buy now, refi later" could be stuck with unaffordable monthly payments while they wait for rates to fall, and those who choose an ARM may be on the hook for higher payments in the future. 
  • The vast majority of homebuyers (91%) are at least "somewhat" stressed about buying a home this year, with a quarter (25%) saying they're "extremely" stressed about it. Just a quarter of buyers (26%) say there's enough for-sale housing inventory within their budget in the market where they're buying a home. 
  • Over half of 2024 home shoppers (52%) are planning on buying new construction, including 55% of first-time buyers and 45% of repeat buyers. Among them, 61% say they will use their builder's preferred lender, which often comes with added incentives like mortgage-rate buydowns and closing-cost credits.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

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Price: $114,500    Acres: 0.23

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February Of This Year Saw Closed Home Sales Tick Upwards

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

February of this year saw closed home sales and pending sales tick upwards in the Eugene and Springfield area.  Could this be seasonal, or is it a long-term positive sign for our local Real Estate market? Mortgage interest rates remain just below the 7% mark, which is up from this time last year but about a percentage point below several months ago. The overall economy remains about the same, but inflation continues, but at a slower pace than last year. The hope is that the Fed will lower rates at their next meeting. Slightly lower rates could give our Spring housing market a boost. We remain in a volatile housing market, and it is just tough to determine exactly where it is headed. The inventory of homes remains low, and my advice to anyone thinking of selling a home this year is to not wait. Right now, we seem to have more home buyers than we have home listings in our market. My suggestion would be to take advantage of this. The following are the home sales statistics for Lane County in the month of February 2024.

New Listings

New listings (356) increased 24.9% from the 285 listed in February 2023, and increased 25.8% from the 283 listed in January 2024.

Pending Sales

Pending sales (335) increased 21.8% from the 275 offers accepted in February 2023, and increased 29.8% from the 258 offers accepted in January 2024.

Closed Sales

Closed sales (238) increased 3.5% from the 230 closings in February 2023, and increased 37.6% from the 173 closings in January 2024.

Inventory and Time on Market

Inventory decreased to 2.3 months in February. Total market time increased to 76 days.

Year-to-Date Summary

Comparing the first two months of 2024 to the same period in 2023, new listings (640) increased 7.9%, pending sales (585) increased 3.4%, and closed sales (419) increased 2.2%.

Average and Median Sale Prices

Comparing 2024 to 2023 through February, the average sale price has increased 3.8% from $449,000 to $466,100. In the same comparison, the median sale price has increased 2.4% from $415,000 to $425,000.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

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Price: $365,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 1.5    SqFt: 1056

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Mortgage Interest Rates Have Gone Up Recently

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

Mortgage interest rates have gone up recently, but they are remaining below the highs in late 2023. There is a silver lining to this trend, though. With rates up slightly, demand for housing is down, and home inventories are beginning to creep higher. With more competition and less demand, home owners trying to sell their homes are becoming more motivated. This is something that we have not seen take place in our local Eugene and Springfield housing market for years. The recent tick-up in mortgage rates is not enough to have a large effect on payments, but is it enough to have an effect on what you might have to pay for a home? The other side of this is that there are simply more homes to choose from. For many interested home buyers, this is a great time to jump back into the market and start looking at homes. The following is an update on recent market trends that affect home purchases.

Mortgage interest rates rose for a fourth consecutive week, increasing the chances of a challenging spring homebuying season for buyers already struggling with affordability.

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.94% this week, up from last week's 6.9% and hitting a two-month high, according to the latest Freddie Mac survey. The 15-year rate dipped slightly, falling from 6.29% to 6.26%.

Rising 30-year rates are already dampening homebuyer momentum heading into spring, said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac's chief economist.

"While sales of newly built homes are trending in a positive direction, higher rates and elevated prices continue to pose affordability challenges that may leave potential homebuyers on the sidelines," Khater said.

The resilient economy is keeping rates higher, prompting economists to reconsider expectations about interest rate cuts, which typically impact the direction of mortgage rates. Some forecasts had predicted rate cuts as early as this spring, but it appears unlikely that the Federal Reserve will take any action until later in the year.

Bright MLS Chief Economist Lisa Sturtevant, for one, is now expecting rate cuts to happen this summer rather than in the spring.

"This Friday's employment report, which likely will include a revision to January's robust numbers, will be key to watch for guidance on the timing of Federal Reserve action," Sturtevant said.

The Fed isn't providing many hints about when cuts could happen. In a speech on Feb. 28, New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said that while there is still some work to do, the door is opening to interest rate cuts "this year," depending on data, according to Reuters.

Without providing a timeline, Williams did suggest that three cuts could be coming sometime this year.

"While the economy has come a long way toward achieving better balance and reaching our 2% inflation goal, we are not there yet," Williams said.

Inventory is building, but mortgage applications haven't picked up yet

The one bit of good news for buyers is that elevated mortgage rates are allowing more inventory to build. Redfin's weekly report noted that new listings rose 13% year-over-year during the four weeks ending Feb. 25, the biggest jump in nearly three years.

And Altos Research noted in its weekly report that there are more sellers and fewer buyers heading into spring. Price reductions also ticked up this week for the first time since November, said Altos Founder Mike Simonsen. That doesn't mean home prices are necessarily falling yet, but they are softening.

"It is simply very clear evidence of how homebuyers wait when mortgage rates stay higher for longer," Simonsen said.

According to the company's research, there are 498,000 single-family homes for sale, which is 16% higher than last year but below pre-pandemic levels for this time of year.

Even as inventory has picked up, higher mortgage rates have stalled loan activity, said Mike Fratantoni, chief economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association.  

Applications for mortgages decreased by 5.6% from a week earlier, according to MBA data. Purchase applications were down 12% compared to a year ago.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

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Price: $420,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 2.5    SqFt: 1888

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AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Displaying blog entries 1-4 of 4

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Haas Real Estate Team
Keller Williams Realty Eugene and Springfield
2645 Suzanne Way Suite 2A
Eugene OR 97408
Direct: (541) 349-2620
Fax: 541-687-6411

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