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Good Monday Morning! 

Many homebuyers are choosing to wait in regards to purchasing a home. They are doing this in hopes of seeing mortgage interest rates drop over the months ahead.  My thoughts are that this may not be the best strategy. First of all, there is no promise that mortgage rates will decline soon. It has been widely publicized that we will see mortgage rates drop later this year. This could be wishful thinking as we watch inflation rates continue to climb and our overall economy is not fairing well.  At the same time, the government continues out-of-control spending, which will only further the risk of continued high inflation rates. The other unknown is the price of housing. We continue to see inflation with home prices and low inventories. My guess is that home prices will most likely not go down any time soon, and we may see home prices continue to increase as a part of our national inflation problem. My suggestion for homebuyers at this time would be to get serious about purchasing a home soon. Purchasing a home now may be a great financial decision. The thought of buying now and not risking higher home prices or even higher mortgage interest rates makes sense. If mortgage rates do decline, refinance! The following is an article from "NAR" that talks about why making a home purchase now may be a wise decision.

Mortgage rates edged up this week, prompting a pause among some would-be house hunters. But here’s why they may not want to wait.

Home shoppers are sensitive to mortgage rates, which was made clear this week with an increase in the average for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. The rate rose to 6.77%, and mortgage applications for home purchases fell 3%, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

Every notch up and down in rates can impact home buyers’ purchasing power, but borrowing costs have largely stabilized. “While mortgage interest rates edged up weekly, the overall trajectory from fall 2023 is down and is now a full percentage point below the recent high” when rates neared 8%, says Jessica Lautz, deputy chief economist at the National Association of REALTORS®. “While mortgage interest rates may come down to the low 6% range in the middle to later part of the year, buyers must weigh what makes the most sense for them. Timing the real estate market based purely on mortgage interest rates—especially marginal changes—rarely works when new babies, marriages and jobs are the real decision-makers.”

Buyers may not save much by waiting, either. Home buyers purchasing the typical home at $400,000, with a 20% down payment, would likely have a monthly mortgage payment of about $2,080 at this week’s rate average, Lautz says. Last week, when rates averaged 6.64%, home buyers could have paid about $70 less per month—but that was based on a median home price of $391,700.

Home prices are rising quickly. The median price of an existing home surged to an all-time high in December, according to NAR, and prices are expected to continue to climb. The annual median home price is predicted to increase by 1.4% this year, and by another 2.6% in 2025, to $405,200, NAR’s forecast shows. Plus, housing inventory remains at historical lows and remain a major obstacle for would-be home buyers. That will keep pressure on home prices, economists say.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

1011 S 8th Street, Cottage Grove, OR 

Price: $337,500    Beds: 3    Baths: 1.0    SqFt: 1008

This adorable single level home was completely remodeled in 2019 and has been refreshed from top-to-bottom! Updates include a 30-year composite roof, vinyl windows and laminate flooring. The kitchen is open to the family room and has been tastefully...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Housing Starts Are Off In Large Numbers!

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

Locally and nationally, new home starts have taken a huge hit as of late. Housing starts are off in large numbers, and this is one of the key indicators as to where our local and national economy is currently at. In Lane County, building permits for new construction are at a standstill.  Just look around at the number of new houses you see under construction. It is minimal. We are experiencing low housing starts, and at the same time, our nation has never had a larger shortage of housing. A sluggish economy, high mortgage interest rates, the high cost of land, high building material costs, high labor costs, high SDC charges, high property taxes, and expensive homeowner insurance have all contributed to the crash in new home construction. The remedy for this situation is complex, and most likely we will not see a rapid change in new home construction numbers any time soon. Lower inflation numbers and a decline in mortgage loan interest rates would be a good start to bringing back our new home industry. The following is an article from "Realtor.com" that talks about the decline in new home starts nationally.

The numbers: Construction of new U.S. homes fell 14.8% in January as home builders scaled back new projects.

The pace of construction slowed as builders curtailed their activity amid wintry weather in the U.S. in January.

Housing starts fell to a 1.33 million annual pace from 1.56 million in December, the government said Friday. That’s how many houses would be built over an entire year if construction took place at the same rate every month as it did in January.

Housing starts fell to the lowest level since August 2023.

The drop in January was the sharpest since April 2020, during the coronavirus pandemic, when starts fell by nearly 27%. Not including that pandemic drop, housing starts fell by the most since 2015.

The data fell short of expectations on Wall Street, where the expected rate was 1.45 million. The numbers are seasonally adjusted.

Single-family and multi-family construction fell in January, with the latter registering a nearly 36% drop.

But in a more recent survey of builders in January, builders were upbeat about future sales of new homes and optimistic about demand, as they expect interest rates to fall through the rest of the year.

Building permits, a sign of future construction, fell 1.5% to a 1.47 million rate.

Key details: Builders scaled back construction of new single-family homes, leading to a 4.7% drop, as well as apartments, which fell 35.8%.

The only region where builders increased construction was the Northeast, where single-family starts rose 26.7%. Every other region posted a drop in January.

Permits for single-family homes rose 1.6% in January, while apartment permits fell 9%.

Big picture: Housing starts are generally a volatile data series, but the data indicate that that builders slowed down construction of new homes in January.

But most builders are optimistic about the future, as seen in a recent survey, and expect falling mortgage rates to boost home-buying demand.

Meanwhile, builders continue to benefit from the tailwind that is the persistent shortage of previously owned homes. While new homes only formed a tenth of overall sales historically, that share has jumped to 30%, the National Association of Home Builders told MarketWatch.

What are they saying? “Housing starts fell by the largest amount since April 2020 in January, led by a huge drop in multi-family starts. We suspect the multi-family sector will continue to be a drag on new development this year, given the huge number of multi-family units already under construction,” Thomas Ryan, property economist at Capital Economics, wrote in a note.

“The sharp pullback in starts could reflect bad weather in January,” Ali Jaffery at CIBC Economics, wrote in a note. But as mortgage rates inch up, “housing activity should remain weak until the Fed signals a more clear intent to ease policy,” he said.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

4391 N Shasta Loop, Eugene, OR 

Price: $450,000    Beds: 4    Baths: 2.5    SqFt: 2154

This diamond in the rough is perfect for an investor looking for a project or an owner looking to create their own oasis in a quiet South Eugene neighborhood. This is an eclectic home from the 1970's with natural wood, vaulted ceilings and great sep...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Home Inventory Is Creeping Up

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

The January 2024 Real Estate market in the Eugene and Springfield area improved some over December 2023 but decreased from January 2023. All categories were off from one year ago. The only real positive news is that the inventory of homes for sale is creeping up. Interest rates took a dip for a short period of time in December and January, but have inched back up as of late. The outlook for an improved housing market right now hinges on mortgage interest rates declining again and an improvement in our nation's economy. A bright spot right now is that, with the improved housing inventory, we are having a much easier time finding homes for our clients. We are also finding many sellers who are more motivated and willing to pitch in with paying buyers closing costs, etc. This is something that we have not seen happen in years. There is always a bright spot if you look for it. The following are the home sales numbers for Lane County for the month of January 2024.

New Listings

New listings (283) decreased 6.6% from the 303 listed in January 2023, and increased 59.9% from the 177 listed in December 2023.

Pending Sales

Pending sales (258) decreased 14.9% from the 303 offers accepted in January 2023, and increased 24.0% from the 208 offers accepted in December 2023.

Closed Sales

Closed sales (173) decreased 2.3% from the 177 closings in January 2023, and decreased 19.5% from the 215 closings in December 2023.

Inventory and Time on Market

Inventory increased to 3.2 months in January. Total market time increased to 68 days.

Year-to-Date Summary

Comparing the first month of 2024 to the same period in 2023, new listings (283) decreased 6.6%, pending sales (258) decreased 14.9%, and closed sales (173) decreased 2.3%.

Average and Median Sale Prices

Comparing 2024 to 2023 through January, the average sale price has decreased 2.1% from $470,600 to $460,800. In the same comparison, the median sale price has decreased 1.0% from $419,000 to $415,000.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

4927 Morely Loop, Eugene, OR 

Price: $330,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 2.0    SqFt: 1518

This updated home is on its own lot & doesn't have any HOA fees. It's located on a quiet street with a treed view in the backyard. Open floor plan with vaulted ceilings, skylight in the kitchen, laminate flooring and vinyl windows. Sliding French ba...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Mortgage Interest Rates Today

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

After years of historically low mortgage interest rates, the Fed began a systematic increase in rates, which in turn influenced the mortgage market and sent rates soaring. Mortgage rates peaked in the Fall of 2023 before they began to subside in the Winter of 2023. Today, rates have declined significantly, and there are mixed thoughts as to where mortgage rates may be headed in 2024. The following article from NAR gives their opinion on the 2024 mortgage rate situation. Only time will tell, but one thing is most likely for sure, and that is that we most likely won't see a return of 8% mortgage rates in 2024. This is great, but further declines in mortgage rates in 2024 would be even better.

Although the Fed’s rate does not directly impact mortgage rates, it often influences them

Jessica Lautz, deputy chief economist at the National Association of REALTORS®, anticipates mortgage rates to remain in the 6% range for most of the year. “While this is certainly higher than the historic lows seen in 2020 and 2021, this is lower than the historical norm of 7.74%,” Lautz says.

With less volatility in mortgage rates, consumers may feel more confident to resume house hunting. Last fall, mortgage rates surged to nearly 8%, shaking buyer confidence and causing home sales to dip. This week’s 6.63% average translates to about $251 less for a typical monthly mortgage payment compared to fall when rates hit a peak, Lautz says.

Mortgage rates have held relatively stable for nearly two months, which is bringing more buyers back into the housing market, says Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. Further, “the economy continues to outperform due to solid job and income growth, while household formation is increasing at rates above pre-pandemic levels,” he says. “These favorable factors should provide fundamental support to the market in the months ahead.”

Lower mortgage rates are helping to improve housing affordability, adds NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. Pending home sales rose 8.3% in December and are now higher than a year ago, NAR’s latest housing report shows.

Homeowners also may find more incentive to sell. “Many delayed home sellers may be willing to give up 3% to 4% rates as life circumstances have changed, thereby boosting inventory,” Yun says. “Home sales will no doubt rise this year.” NAR is forecasting a 13% increase in existing-home sales compared to 2023. That rising trend is expected to continue into 2025, with another 15.8% uptick, NAR notes.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

1011 S 8th Street, Cottage Grove, OR 

Price: $345,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 1.0    SqFt: 1008

This adorable single level home was completely remodeled in 2019 and has been refreshed from top-to-bottom! Updates include a 30-year composite roof, vinyl windows and laminate flooring. The kitchen is open to the family room and has been tastefully...View this property >> 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

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Haas Real Estate Team
Keller Williams Realty Eugene and Springfield
2645 Suzanne Way Suite 2A
Eugene OR 97408
Direct: (541) 349-2620
Fax: 541-687-6411

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