Housing Shortage Effects Home Prices
Good Morning!
If you are interested in what is taking place with our national housing market, the following article will give you a good idea as to what is taking place. This article from "Realtor.com", talks about the shortage of homes for sale and the effect it is having on home prices.
It's anyone's guess just how much higher home prices will go—and if they'll ever slow down. Besides, if you could see the future, wouldn't you rather focus your energies on predicting the winning lottery numbers?
Nationally, the median existing-home price for single-family abodes zoomed up to $255,600 in the second quarter of the year, according to the new quarterly report from the National Association of Realtors®. (Existing homes are previously lived-in residences as opposed to newly built abodes.) That was up 10.1% from the first quarter of the year and represented a 6.2% rise from the second quarter of last year.
Prices are continuing their steady climb because there simply aren't enough homes on the market to go around. As the economy has improved, more people who held off on becoming homeowners or trading up to bigger, better abodes are getting into the market. "Household incomes may be rising and giving consumers assurance that now is a good time to buy," NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said in a statement. "But these severe inventory shortages will likely continue to be a drag on sales potential the second half of the year."
The cost of buying a single-family home increased in about 87% of the metros that NAR looked at. Prices dropped in just 23 markets.
That might explain why sales of all existing homes, which include both single-family residences and condos, fell 0.9% in the second quarter. They hit 5.57 million, according to the seasonally adjusted numbers in the report.
"With new supply not even coming close to keeping pace, price appreciation remained swift in most markets," Yun said. "An increasing share of would-be buyers are being priced out of the market and are unable to experience the wealth-building benefits of homeownership."
Even the median prices of lower-priced condos and co-ops shot up to $239,500. That's up nearly 9.5% from the first quarter of 2017 and represented a 5.4% rise from the second quarter of last year. Sorry, buyers.
The most expensive metros were, unsurprisingly, primarily in California. Silicon Valley's San Jose topped the list with a median price of$1,183,400 for a single-family, existing home, according to the report.
Silicon Valley buyers are "commonly very well-to-do people in their mid-20s to mid-40s. Most typically are working in high tech," says Realtor® Avi Urban of Keller Williams Palto Alto. "Many of them are making enormous amounts of money."
But prices fluctuate during the year depending on the season as well as the local job market, he says.
"As long as the Silicon Valley economy is doing well, I do not expect prices to go down," Urban says. "I expect prices to continue with more gradual, moderate appreciation."
San Jose was followed by its neighbor to the north, San Francisco, at $950,000; Anaheim, CA, at $788,000; Honolulu, at $760,600; and San Diego, at $605,000.
Meanwhile, the cheapest metros were Youngstown, OH, at $87,000; Cumberland, MD, at $98,200; Decatur, IL, at $107,400; Binghamton, NY, at $109,000; and Elmira, NY, at $111,600.
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Here’s the good news: Sales of newly constructed homes rose in the beginning of the year. The bad news? It wasn’t enough to ease the housing shortage that is frustrating would-be home buyers across the nation.
Eugene's recent housing market is currently seeing record low number of homes on the market for sale. In fact, the inventory right now is less than two months and second lowest in the nation. The price range of homes that is hardest hit by this shortage is those that are at or below the median sales price of around $265,000. This is the price range that most young families and first time home buyers are in. The housing shortage has created some severe problems in our area as the shortage continues to drive home prices higher, making them less affordable. Home price increases have outpaced the increase in income for our local area and as a result have actually pushed many first time home buyers completely out of the market or pushed them into price prices where there are low inventory and high demand.
The number of for-sale listings fell again in December to the lowest level since 1999, according to the National Association of Realtors. There were just 1.65 million homes for sale at the end of December, which at the current sales pace would take only about 3 ½ months to exhaust. A normal, balanced market has about a six-month supply. This, as the busy spring market is already on the verge of starting. "To say early buyer demand is strong in early 2017 is an understatement — it is titanic. Redfin data shows that buyers are out touring in droves, ready to pounce on new listings that fit the bill," said Nela Richardson, chief economist at Redfin. "The only thing missing is homes for sale to satisfy demand because there just aren't a lot of homes available to buy right now. We are in a real estate black hole until those listings show up again."