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Good Morning!

Eugene's recent housing market is currently seeing record low number of homes on the market for sale.  In fact, the inventory right now is less than two months and second lowest in the nation.  The price range of homes that is hardest hit by this shortage is those that are at or below the median sales price of around $265,000.  This is the price range that most young families and first time home buyers are in.  The housing shortage has created some severe problems in our area as the shortage continues to drive home prices higher, making them less affordable.  Home price increases have outpaced the increase in income for our local area and as a result have actually pushed many first time home buyers completely out of the market or pushed them into price prices where there are low inventory and high demand.

Why does Eugene have one of the lowest inventories of available housing?

One major culprit is the fact that city and county land planners have refused to extend the urban growth boundary for Eugene.  This has caused a dire shortage of building lots and the shortage has lead to huge price increases for the existing lots.  The result of this is lack of new construction, which has fallen well below demand and has lead to a very high price for any new construction.  The urban growth boundary freeze is the primary culprit for low inventories and non-affordable housing, especially for young families and first-time home buyers.  As available lots become even more scarce the cost of housing continues to skyrocket and the affordability factor continues to decline.  This is not a healthy situation for any community.

Right now, City and County land planners are again refusing to expand the urban growth boundary for residential in Eugene.  This means a continuation of lot shortages, high priced lots, housing shortages and non-affordable housing for Eugene.  This refusal to extend the urban growth boundary for residential has choked our community for years and now during a time of crisis in the local housing market the planners refuse to help remedy our problem.

If you are concerned with the current housing crisis in Eugene, then I urge you to contact both county and city land planners and express your concern.  The failure to create affordable housing in Eugene will continue to choke our economy and drive our young families to other cities.

Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!


1471 BARRINGTON AVE

Price: $514,900    Beds: 5    Baths: 3    Sq Ft: 3756

Luxurious & grand! Great Rm w/ surround sound, Brazilian cherry hardwd & gas fp. HUGE theater/bonus rm. Open KIT w/ cherry stained cabinets, island, LED under+above cabinet & toe-kick lights. Private mstr ste w/ access to back, bath w/ heated marble...View Home for Sale >>


AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

5 Main Causes of Our Housing Shortage

by Galand Haas

Good Morning!

As I have been writing about in previous weeks posts, the inventory of homes for sale both in the U.S. market and here locally in the Eugene and Springfield market is at historic low levels.  In Eugene and Springfield, we remain at just 1.6 months of home inventory, second lowest in the nation.  A healthy Real Estate market will typically have around 6 months of inventory. This is a balanced market.  The following is an article from CNBC that talks about the national housing shortage and some of its causes.

House hunters out this spring will have to pound more and more pavement to find their home sweet home.

The number of for-sale listings fell again in December to the lowest level since 1999, according to the National Association of Realtors. There were just 1.65 million homes for sale at the end of December, which at the current sales pace would take only about 3 ½ months to exhaust. A normal, balanced market has about a six-month supply. This, as the busy spring market is already on the verge of starting. "To say early buyer demand is strong in early 2017 is an understatement — it is titanic. Redfin data shows that buyers are out touring in droves, ready to pounce on new listings that fit the bill," said Nela Richardson, chief economist at Redfin. "The only thing missing is homes for sale to satisfy demand because there just aren't a lot of homes available to buy right now. We are in a real estate black hole until those listings show up again."

In some local markets, the situation is more dire. The share of communities with supply at less than three months jumped from about 13 percent to more than 20 percent in the past year, according to a survey by Proteck Valuation Services, a real estate appraisal and analytics company. For example, in Dallas, the supply of homes for sale dropped by nearly 41 percent from December 2015 to December 2016.

"This means fierce competition for homes, where buyers that are able to act fast and pose less risk to the seller have the advantage. These 'favored' buyers would include those already pre-approved for a mortgage, those with larger cash down payments and those with no contingencies (like the sale of another home)," according to the Proteck report.

The shortage is being driven by surging demand and weak home construction. Single-family housing starts continue to rise, but very slowly each month. Builders are still operating at well below normal construction levels, and that doesn't even account for pent-up demand from the housing crisis and growing household formation.

"The homeownership rate is at a near 50-year low, and it could remain at this level," said Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the NAR. "I'm not sure if this is the trend that America wants."

"We are in a real estate black hole until those listings show up again." Nela Richardson, chief economist, Redfin

The older edge of the millennial generation is finally looking toward homeownership, but finding nothing but frustration in their neighborhoods.


Tight supply is pushing home prices past their peaks in some markets and well past income growth nationally. Mortgage rates were historically low in 2016, helping to offset the higher prices, but that is not the case this year. Rates are already up significantly since the election and are expected to continue higher. Only a few of the big volume home builders are putting resources into the starter home market.

"I continuously say that the industry and the first-time buyer need more homes priced below $250,000, but the high costs of lots, labor and regulations puts tight margins on this price point. In coming months we'll watch to see what influence the rise in rates had," said Peter Boockvar, chief market analyst at The Lindsey Group.

First-time buyers continue to make up less than a third of the sales market; historically they are usually at about 40 percent. Affordability is weakening, but mortgage credit availability also continues to be difficult.

As rates rise, fewer potential borrowers qualify for the strict debt-to-income levels lenders now require. Some are looking to the Trump administration to loosen regulations on lenders, but that could take time and is unlikely to happen before the spring season. The administration already froze a last-minute cut in the FHA insurance premium by the outgoing Obama administration, which might have opened the market to more homebuyers.

"Constrained inventory in many areas and climbing rents, home prices and mortgage rates means it's not getting any easier to be a first-time buyer," said Yun. "It'll take more entry-level supply, continued job gains and even stronger wage growth for first-timers to make up a greater share of the market."

Have An Awesome Week!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

1471 Barrington Ave

Price: $515,000    Beds: 5    Baths: 3    Sq Ft: 3756

Luxurious and grand! Great room with surround sound speakers, Brazilian cherry hardwood floor & gas fireplace. Huge theater/bonus room prewired for surround sound. Open kitchen with cherry stained cabinets, island, LED under & above cabinets & toe k...View Home for Sale >>


AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

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Haas Real Estate Team
Keller Williams Realty Eugene and Springfield
2645 Suzanne Way Suite 2A
Eugene OR 97408
Direct: (541) 349-2620
Fax: 541-687-6411

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