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Housing Shortage Effects Home Prices

by Galand Haas

Good Morning!

If you are interested in what is taking place with our national housing market, the following article will give you a good idea as to what is taking place.  This article from "Realtor.com", talks about the shortage of homes for sale and the effect it is having on home prices.

It's anyone's guess just how much higher home prices will go—and if they'll ever slow down. Besides, if you could see the future, wouldn't you rather focus your energies on predicting the winning lottery numbers?

Nationally, the median existing-home price for single-family abodes zoomed up to $255,600 in the second quarter of the year, according to the new quarterly report from the National Association of Realtors®. (Existing homes are previously lived-in residences as opposed to newly built abodes.) That was up 10.1% from the first quarter of the year and represented a 6.2% rise from the second quarter of last year.

Prices are continuing their steady climb because there simply aren't enough homes on the market to go around. As the economy has improved, more people who held off on becoming homeowners or trading up to bigger, better abodes are getting into the market. "Household incomes may be rising and giving consumers assurance that now is a good time to buy," NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said in a statement. "But these severe inventory shortages will likely continue to be a drag on sales potential the second half of the year."

The cost of buying a single-family home increased in about 87% of the metros that NAR looked at. Prices dropped in just 23 markets.

That might explain why sales of all existing homes, which include both single-family residences and condos, fell 0.9% in the second quarter. They hit 5.57 million, according to the seasonally adjusted numbers in the report.

"With new supply not even coming close to keeping pace, price appreciation remained swift in most markets," Yun said. "An increasing share of would-be buyers are being priced out of the market and are unable to experience the wealth-building benefits of homeownership."

Even the median prices of lower-priced condos and co-ops shot up to $239,500. That's up nearly 9.5% from the first quarter of 2017 and represented a 5.4% rise from the second quarter of last year. Sorry, buyers.

The most expensive metros were, unsurprisingly, primarily in California. Silicon Valley's San Jose topped the list with a median price of$1,183,400 for a single-family, existing home, according to the report.

Silicon Valley buyers are "commonly very well-to-do people in their mid-20s to mid-40s. Most typically are working in high tech," says Realtor® Avi Urban of Keller Williams Palto Alto. "Many of them are making enormous amounts of money."

But prices fluctuate during the year depending on the season as well as the local job market, he says.

"As long as the Silicon Valley economy is doing well, I do not expect prices to go down," Urban says. "I expect prices to continue with more gradual, moderate appreciation."

San Jose was followed by its neighbor to the north, San Francisco, at $950,000; Anaheim, CA, at $788,000; Honolulu, at $760,600; and San Diego, at $605,000.

Meanwhile, the cheapest metros were Youngstown, OH, at $87,000; Cumberland, MD, at $98,200; Decatur, IL, at $107,400; Binghamton, NY, at $109,000; and Elmira, NY, at $111,600.

 Have An Awesome Week!

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AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!! 

A Very Dangerous Situation if Homeownership Continues to Falter

by Galand Haas

Good Morning!

It is not common knowledge, but homeownership in the United States is at a 51 year low.  This is a frightening fact because the idea of homeownership is the foundation of the American Dream.  There are many factors that have contributed to this fall off on homeownership.  There is currenlty a large difference in what our two presidential candidates plan to do to stimulate the housing industry.  Do your homework and vote wisely. It is a very dangerous situation if homeownership continues to falter.  Here is a recent article from Realtor.com that talks about some of the conditions that are having an impact on homeownership.

Buying a home is hard enough these days as wannabe homeowners have to contend with a shortage of residences in some markets—along with ever-rising prices and plenty of drag-down, no-holds-barred competition. But guess what? It’s about to get even worse.

Builders and developers applied for fewer new-home construction permits in June, according to the U.S. Department of Commerce’s monthly new residential construction report. So get ready for a continuing decrease in the supply of new homes later this year and into the next. (It takes about six to nine months to complete a residence once a permit is secured.)

And, yes, that’s expected to drive prices up even higher.

The number of permits issued were down 15.4%, to just 114,000, in June compared with the same month a year earlier, according to the report. But before panic sets in, it’s helpful to realize that this was actually a 5.8% bump from May.

The numbers were not seasonally adjusted, meaning they weren’t smoothed out over a 12-month period to account for fluctuations.

The reason builders are holding off on putting up more homes is because they’re worried the number of buyers could drop off if the economy falters, says Jonathan Smoke, chief economist of realtor.com®.

“The presidential election poses a big wild card,” Smoke says. “At the same time, the world is teetering on entering a recession due to a number of factors, including most recently Brexit.”

It’s also important to note that those newly built abodes, often with state-of-the-art appliances and electronic systems, cost more than those which have been lived in—so developers have lots to lose if those properties don’t sell.

For example, the median price of a new home was $290,400 in May, according to the most recent Commerce data available. Existing (i.e., not new) homes went for a median of $239,700 in May, according to the National Association of Realtors®.It wasn’t just permits to build single-family homes that were down. Permits to put up sorely needed condo and apartment buildings, with five units or more, also dropped year over year by about 39.2%, to just 36,600 in June. But, on the bright side, the number was up nearly 4.9% from May.

“This environment is good for the landlord and property owner, but not so much for virtually everybody else,” Smoke says. “It’s going to be even harder to find an affordable place to rent than it has been.”

In a welcome bit of good news, June saw the completion of the greatest number of new residences over the past year, according to the report.

The number of finished abodes surged 16.5%, hitting 99,500 residences, in June compared with a year earlier, according to the report. It was also up 19% from May.

In addition, the number of completed condo and apartment buildings, with five units or more, were also up 14.5% from a year ago and 46.5% from May, according to the report.

But with permits down, the number of new homes hitting the market simply can’t—and won’t—continue.

“We’re just not seeing the growth in new construction that would be necessary to improve the shortage of apartments for rent and homes for sale,” Smoke says. So “we’re likely to see continued rent and home price increases.

Have An Awesome Week!

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AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

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Haas Real Estate Team
Keller Williams Realty Eugene and Springfield
2645 Suzanne Way Suite 2A
Eugene OR 97408
Direct: (541) 349-2620
Fax: 541-687-6411

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